0000000000443882

AUTHOR

A Gilio

showing 5 related works from this author

Some results on generalized coherence of conditional probability bounds

2003

Based on the coherence principle of de Finetti and a related notion of generalized coherence (g-coherence), we adopt a probabilistic approach to uncertainty based on conditional probability bounds. Our notion of g-coherence is equivalent to the 'avoiding uniform loss' property for lower and upper probabilities (a la Walley). Moreover, given a g-coherent imprecise assessment by our algorithms we can correct it obtaining the associated coherent assessment (in the sense of Walley and Williams). As is well known, the problems of checking g-coherence and propagating tight g-coherent intervals are NP and FP^NP complete, respectively, and thus NP-hard. Two notions which may be helpful to reduce co…

g-coherenceUncertain knowledge; coherence; g-coherence; imprecise probabilities; conditional probability bounds; lower and upper probabilities; non relevant gains; basic sets.Settore MAT/06 - Probabilita' E Statistica Matematicanon relevant gainsUncertain knowledgeconditional probability boundslower and upper probabilitiesbasic setsimprecise probabilitiesUncertain knowledge coherence g-coherence imprecise probabilities conditional probability bounds lower and upper probabilities non relevant gains basic setscoherence
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Algebraic aspects and coherence conditions for conjunctions among conditional events

2018

We deepen the study of a notion of conjunction among conditional events, introduced in previous papers in theframework of coherence. This notion of conjunction, differently from other approaches, is given in the setting ofconditional random quantities. We show that some well known properties which are satisfied by conjunctionsof unconditional events are also satisfied by conjunctions of conditional events. In particular we examine anadditive property and a decomposition formula, by also obtaining a generalized inclusion-exclusion formula. Then,by exploiting the notion of conjunction, we introduce the set of constituents generated bynconditional events.Moreover, under logical independence, w…

Settore MAT/06 - Probabilita' E Statistica MatematicaCoherenceconditionalevents conditional random quantities conjunction disjunction decomposition formula conditional constituents inclusion-exclusion formula distributive property.
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Generalized Logical Operations among Conditional Events

2018

We generalize, by a progressive procedure, the notions of conjunction and disjunction of two conditional events to the case of $n$ conditional events. In our coherence-based approach, conjunctions and disjunctions are suitable conditional random quantities. We define the notion of negation, by verifying De Morgan's Laws. We also show that conjunction and disjunction satisfy the associative and commutative properties, and a monotonicity property. Then, we give some results on coherence of prevision assessments for some families of compounded conditionals; in particular we examine the Fr'echet-Hoeffding bounds. Moreover, we study the reverse probabilistic inference from the conjunction $mathc…

Settore MAT/06 - Probabilita' E Statistica MatematicaConjunction disjunction conditional events conditional random quantities
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Logical Conditions for Coherent Qualitative and Numerical Probability Assessments

2003

Settore MAT/06 - Probabilita' E Statistica Matematicalower and upper probability boundsUncertain knowledge coherence g-coherence imprecise probabilities conditional probability bounds lower and upper probabilities coherent qualitative probability assessmentsqualitative probabilitieslogical conditionsGeneralized coherenceGeneralized coherence; lower and upper probability bounds; logical conditions; qualitative probabilities.
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Algorithms for coherence checking and propagation of conditional probability bounds

2001

In this paper, we propose some algorithms for the checking of generalized coherence (g-coherence) and for the extension of imprecise conditional probability assessments. Our concept of g-coherence is a generalization of de Finetti’s coherence principle and is equivalent to the ”avoiding uniform loss” property for lower and upper probabilities (a la Walley). By our algorithms we can check the g-coherence of a given imprecise assessment and we can correct it in order to obtain the associated coherent assessment (in the sense of Walley and Williams). Exploiting some properties of the random gain we show how, in the linear systems involved in our algorithms, we can work with a reduced set of va…

reduced sets of variables and constraintsSettore MAT/06 - Probabilita' E Statistica MatematicaUncertain knowledgeUncertain knowledge probabilistic reasoning under coherence imprecise conditional probability assessments g-coherence checking g-coherent extension algorithms computational aspects reduced sets of variables reduced sets of linear constraints.g-coherent extensionimprecise conditional probability assessmentsg-coherence checkingUncertain knowledge; probabilistic reasoning under coherence; imprecise conditional probability assessments; g-coherence checking; g-coherent extension; algorithms.; computational aspects; reduced sets of variables and constraints.algorithmsprobabilistic reasoning under coherencecomputational aspects
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