0000000000528053
AUTHOR
Herbert Moskowitz
An interactive approach to multiple criteria optimization with multiple decision-makers
In this article we propose a formal man-machine interactive approach to multiple criteria optimization with multiple decision makers. The approach is based on some of our earlier research findings in multiple criteria decision making. A discrete decision space is assumed. The same framework may readily be used for multiple criteria mathematical programming problems. To test the approach two experiments were conducted using undergraduate Business School students as subjects in Finland and in the United States. The context was, respectively, a high-level Finnish labor-management problem and the management-union collective bargaining game developed at the Krannert Graduate School of Management…
Further Developments and Tests of a Progressive Algorithm for Multiple Criteria Decision Making
P. Korhonen, H. Moskowitz, and J. Wallenius (1986) developed a progressive algorithm and the supporting theory for modeling and solving multiple criteria decision problems with discrete alternatives. A special feature of the algorithm is that it relaxes the usual assumption of a fixed set of available decision alternatives and complete knowledge of a decision maker's (DM's) preference structure or value function. The algorithm is based on progressively sampling the decision space, obtaining preference information from the DM, determining the likelihood of finding possibly/surely better alternatives, and based on this information, continuing the search or terminating it by making the final …
Conditional Versus Joint Probability Assessments
AbstractThe assessment of conditional and / or joint probabilities of events that constitute scenarios is necessary for sound planning, forecasting, and decision making. The assessment process is complex and subtle, and various difficulties are encountered in the elicitation of such probabilities such as, implicit violations ofthe probability calculus and some meaningfjilness conditions. The necessary and sufficient as well as meaningfulness conditions that the elicited information on conditional and joint probabilities must satisfy are evaluated against actual assessments empirically. A high frequency of violation of these conditions was observed in assessing both conditional and joint pro…