Climate change impacts on river runoff in Latvia

In order to assess climate change impacts on river runoff patterns at the end of this cen- tury, the hydrological model METQ2007BDOPT was applied to 8 river basins and sub-basins in Latvia, which is a part of the southeast Baltic Sea basin. The climate data we used originate from the PRUDENCE project and were prepared in a separate study. Changes in hydro-climate were analysed using one control run (1961-1990) and 2 IPCC scenario runs (A2 and B2; 2071-2100). For the A2 sce- nario, both annual and seasonal analysis predicted the major significant changes in most cases. For both scenarios, an increase of the mean annual climate data (air temperature, precipitation and evapo - transpiration) i…