Comparison of prognostic models in patients with advanced Hodgkin disease

Several prognostic systems have been elaborated for patients with Hodgkin disease (HD) over the last 12 years, but early identification of a reasonably large group of both low and high risk, advanced stage patients remains unsatisfactory.Seven well known models were applied to 516 patients with advanced HD, with 315 patients used for the study sample and 201 patients used for the test sample. Individual performances as well as joint performances were analyzed univariately and multivariately in relation to overall survival, recurrence free survival, and time to treatment failure by means of a proportional hazards model.None of the models identified a group containing10% of patients from the …