0000000000950655

AUTHOR

Saira Afzal

showing 8 related works from this author

Age–sex differences in the global burden of lower respiratory infections and risk factors, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study…

2022

Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Background: The global burden of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and corresponding risk factors in children older than 5 years and adults has not been studied as comprehensively as it has been in children younger than 5 years. We assessed the burden and trends of LRIs and risk factors across all age groups by sex, for 204 countries and territories.  Methods: In this analysis of data for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we used clinician-diagnosed pneumonia or bronchiolitis as our case definition for LRIs. We included International Classification of Diseases 9th edition codes 079.6, 466–469, 470.0, 480–4…

AdultMaleGlobal HealthTimeGlobal Burden of DiseaseSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingRisk FactorsRA0421RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive MedicineHumansAmbient air-qualityChildRespiratory Tract InfectionsAgedAged 80 and overMCCSex CharacteristicsMalnutritionPyridinolcarbamateBayes Theorem3rd-DAS3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational healthInfectious Diseases3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicineChild PreschoolFemaleParticulate MatterQuality-Adjusted Life YearsCovid-19LRI
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Adolescent transport and unintentional injuries: a systematic analysis using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

2022

Correction to Lancet Public Health 2022; 7: e657-69. Lancet Public Health. 2022 Dec;7(12):e992. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00294-8. PMID: 36462522. Background: Globally, transport and unintentional injuries persist as leading preventable causes of mortality and morbidity for adolescents. We sought to report comprehensive trends in injury-related mortality and morbidity for adolescents aged 10-24 years during the past three decades. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2019 Study, we analysed mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributed to transport and unintentional injuries for adolescents in 204 countries. Burden is reported in absolut…

MaleAdolescentRJ101AdolescentsGlobal Burden of DiseaseLife ExpectancyRJ101 Child Health. Child health servicesSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingRA0421Risk FactorsRA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive MedicineHumansMortalityChildrenInterventionsMCCUnintentional injuriesPreventionPublic Health Environmental and Occupational Health3rd-DASGBD 2019 Adolescent Transport and Unintentional Injuries Collaborators3142 Public health care science environmental and occupational healthAdolescent transportPreventable causesHealthFemaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsInvestmentMorbidityAdolescent transport and unintentional injuries: a systematic analysis using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019The Lancet Public Health
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Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study …

2022

Background: The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. Methods: For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to estimate the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) and non-drinker equivalence (NDE), the consumption level at which the health risk is equivalent to that of a non-drinker, using disease rates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and …

AdultMaleAlcohol DrinkingCONTROL POLICIESadult; Alcohol Drinking; Child Preschool; Female; Geography; Global Burden of Disease; Global Health; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Quality-Adjusted Life Years; Risk FactorsNDASALL-CAUSEGUIDELINESGlobal HealthGBD 2020 Alcohol CollaboratorsGlobal Burden of DiseaseCOST-EFFECTIVENESSMedicine General & InternalDRINKINGSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingRA0421Risk FactorsGeneral & Internal MedicineQuality-Adjusted Life YearRA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive MedicineDRINKERSHumansChildPreschool11 Medical and Health SciencesMETAANALYSISMCCScience & Technologyglobal burden of diseaseGeographyRisk FactoradultGeneral MedicineMiddle AgedCANCERalcohol drinkingACChild Preschool3121 General medicine internal medicine and other clinical medicineFemaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsREDUCED MORTALITYLife Sciences & Biomedicinealcohol drinking; global burden of disease; adultHuman
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Global mortality associated with 33 bacterial pathogens in 2019

2022

Background: Reducing the burden of death due to infection is an urgent global public health priority. Previous studies have estimated the number of deaths associated with drug-resistant infections and sepsis and found that infections remain a leading cause of death globally. Understanding the global burden of common bacterial pathogens (both susceptible and resistant to antimicrobials) is essential to identify the greatest threats to public health. To our knowledge, this is the first study to present global comprehensive estimates of deaths associated with 33 bacterial pathogens across 11 major infectious syndromes. Methods: We estimated deaths associated with 33 bacterial genera or species…

MaleBacteriaSyndromeBacterial InfectionsGeneral MedicineGlobal HealthGlobal Burden of DiseaseRisk FactorsSepsisHumansFemaleMortalityChildAfrica South of the SaharaLancet
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Additional file 3 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

2023

Additional file 3: Supplemental figures.Figure S1. Prevalence of male circumcision. Figure S2. Prevalence of signs and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections. Figure S3. Prevalence of marriage or living as married. Figure S4. Prevalence of partner living elsewhere among females. Figure S5. Prevalence of condom use during most recent sexual encounter. Figure S6. Prevalence of sexual activity among young females. Figure S7. Prevalence of multiple partners among males in the past year. Figure S8. Prevalence of multiple partners among females in the past year. Figure S9. HIV prevalence predictions from the boosted regression tree model. Figure S10. HIV prevalence predictions from the gener…

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Additional file 1 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

2023

Additional file 1: Supplemental information.1. Compliance with the Guidlines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). 2. HIV data sources and data processing. 3. Covariate and auxiliary data. 4. Statistical model. 5. References.

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Additional file 2 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

2023

Additional file 2: Supplemental tables.Table S1. HIV seroprevalence survey data. Table S2. ANC sentinel surveillance data. Table S3. HIV and covariates surveys excluded from this analysis. Table S4. Sources for pre-existing covariates. Table S5. HIV covariate survey data. Table S6. Fitted model parameters.

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Additional file 4 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

2023

Additional file 4: Supplemental results.1. README. 2. Prevalence range across districts. 3. Prevalence range between sexes. 4. Prevalence range between ages. 5. Age-specific district ranges.

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