How to assess the risks associated with the usage of a medical device based on predictive modeling: the case of an anemia control model certified as medical device.

Background The successful application of Machine Learning (ML) to many clinical problems can lead to its implementation as medical devices (MD), being important to assess the associated risks. Methods An anemia control model (ACM), certified as MD may face adverse events as the result of wrong predictions that are translated into suggestions of doses of erythropoietic stimulating agents to dialysis patients. Risks are assessed as the combination of severity and probability of a given hazard. While severities are typically assessed by clinicians, probabilities are tightly related to the performance of the predictive model. Results A post-marketing dataset formed by all adult patients registe…