6533b7d0fe1ef96bd125a4fa
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Predictive model to identify the risk of losing protective sensibility of the foot in patients with diabetes mellitus
Francisco José Pomares-gómezAna Marchena-rodriguezEsther Chicharro-lunaEmmanuel Navarro-floresJosé Francisco Javier Blanquer-gregoriAna Belen Ortega-avilasubject
AdultMalemedicine.medical_specialtyDiabetic neuropathyMultivariate analysismellitus diabetesDermatologyLogistic regressionRisk AssessmentSeverity of Illness Index030207 dermatology & venereal diseases03 medical and health sciences0302 clinical medicineDiabetic NeuropathiesPeripheral nerveRisk FactorsInternal medicineDiabetes mellitusClinical Decision RulesmedicineHumansIn patient030212 general & internal medicineAgedAged 80 and overbusiness.industryOriginal ArticlesMiddle Agedmedicine.diseasepredictive modelsDiabetic footdiabetic neuropathyDiabetic FootCross-Sectional StudiesDiabetes Mellitus Type 1Logistic ModelsDiabetes Mellitus Type 2Sensory ThresholdsSurgeryFemalebusinessFoot (unit)diabetic footdescription
Diabetic neuropathy is defined as the presence of symptoms and signs of peripheral nerve dysfunction in diabetics. The aim of this study is to develop a predictive logistic model to identify the risk of losing protective sensitivity in the foot. This descriptive cross‐sectional study included 111 patients diagnosed with diabetes mellitus. Participants completed a questionnaire designed to evaluate neuropathic symptoms, and multivariate analysis was subsequently performed to identify an optimal predictive model. The explanatory capacity was evaluated by calculating the R (2) coefficient of Nagelkerke. Predictive capacity was evaluated by calculating sensitivity, specificity, and estimation of the area under the receiver operational curve. Protective sensitivity loss was detected in 19.1% of participants. Variables associated by multivariate analysis were: educational level (OR: 31.4, 95% CI: 2.5‐383.3, P = .007) and two items from the questionnaire: one related to bleeding and wet socks (OR: 28.3, 95% CI: 3.7‐215.9, P = .001) and the other related to electrical sensations (OR: 52.9, 95% CI: 4.3‐643.9, P = .002), which were both statistically significant. The predictive model included the variables of age, sex, duration of diabetes, and educational level, and it had a sensitivity of 81.3% and a specificity of 95.5%. This model has a high predictive capacity to identify patients at risk of developing sensory neuropathy.
year | journal | country | edition | language |
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2019-11-05 |