6533b7d1fe1ef96bd125d6a1
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Economic value, competition and financial distress in the european banking system
Franco FiordelisiAndrea Cipollinisubject
Economics and EconometricsFinancial economicsbankingBANKING SYSTEMCOMPETITIONMonetary economicsDISTRESSRobust InferenceProbit modelEconomicsAsset (economics)Market powerEVARobust inferenceLiquidity riskShareholder valueBankingPanel probitEVA; banking; Panel Probit; Robust Inference; ForecastingMarket liquidityReal gross domestic productPanel ProbitCOMPETITION; DISTRESS; BANKING SYSTEMFinanceForecastingCredit riskdescription
Abstract In this paper we examine the impact of a large number of factors at the bank level (liquidity and credit risks, asset size, income diversification and market power), at the industry level (banking concentration) and macro-level (real GDP growth) on bank financial distress using an unbalanced panel of 308 European commercial banks between 1996 and 2009. The observations falling below a given threshold of the empirical distribution of the Shareholder Value Ratio proxy bank financial distress. We employ a panel probit regression and, given the presence of overlapping data giving rise to residual autocorrelation, we use the Bertschek and Lechner (1998) robust estimator of the covariance matrix of parameters. We show that credit risk, liquidity risk and bank market power are the most influential determinants of distressed Shareholder Value Ratio. Finally we evaluate the model out-sample forecasting performance over the 2008–2009 crisis period.
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-01 |