6533b7d3fe1ef96bd12613fb
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Facilitating Effect of Natural Frequencies: Size Does Not Matter
Floriana A. CarmeciRaffaella MisuracaGabriella PravettoniMaurizio Cardacisubject
AdultMaleComputer scienceConcept FormationDecision MakingStatistics as TopicBayesian probabilityBayesian reasoningExperimental and Cognitive PsychologyProbabilistic reasoningBayesian inferenceSampling StudiesJudgmentHumansNatural (music)Reference classPractical implicationsMultipleModels StatisticalBayes TheoremSensory SystemsNatural frequencies formatFemaleSocial psychologyAlgorithmsMathematicsCognitive psychologydescription
The question of whether humans are able to work in a Bayesian way is currently a topic of substantial investigation. An important finding, reported by Gigerenzer and Hoffrage in 1995 is that Bayesian reasoning is facilitated when the information format corresponds to natural frequencies. The present concern was whether the facilitating effect of frequencies persists when natural frequencies relate to samples which are not convenient multiples of 10. 150 undergraduates participated as volunteers (42 men, 108 women; M age = 23 yr.). Analysis showed the effect of natural frequency formats was not dependent on size of reference class. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-06-24 | Perceptual and Motor Skills |