6533b7d9fe1ef96bd126d382
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Time of emergence of Mediterranean summer maximum temperature.
Albin Ullmann Pascal Roucousubject
Méditerranéechangement climatique[SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatologyclimate changeMediterranean basintime of emergencetempérature maximale estivale[ SDU.STU.CL ] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatologysummertime maximum temperaturedescription
The time at which the signalof climate change emerges from the noise of natural climate variability is called “time of emergence”. This timeis analyzed here based on summertime mean maximum temperature in the Mediterranean basin for RCP8.5 andRCP4.5 scenarios. This time would be around 2040-50 (2060-70) in the eastern (western) basin. Differencesbetween the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios give a mean shift of around 15 years with the time ofemergence occurring earlier for RCP8.5 scenario.
year | journal | country | edition | language |
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2016-07-06 |