6533b7dafe1ef96bd126ee30

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Contextual perceived group threat and radical right-wing populist party preferences: Evidence from Switzerland

Carl C. Berning

subject

Public AdministrationSociology and Political ScienceGroup (mathematics)media_common.quotation_subject05 social sciencesThreat perception050401 social sciences methodslcsh:Political scienceIndividual levelStructural equation modeling0506 political scienceRadical rightNormative social influence0504 sociologyVotingPolitical Science and International Relations050602 political science & public administrationIdeologyPsychologySocial psychologylcsh:Jmedia_common

description

Existing studies suggest that perceived group threat is an important influence on radical right-wing populist party preferences. However, most have focused on perceived group threat at the individual level, overlooking the ideological climate. I examine how an ideological climate of group threat perception as a contextual factor can shape individual preferences for radical right-wing populist party preferences. I argue that above and beyond personal perceived group threat, the prevalence of local perceived group threat exerts a normative influence on personal preferences. Using voting preferences for the Swiss People’s Party, I employ multilevel structural equation modeling to examine the theoretical model. I find clear evidence for a contextual effect of perceived group threat on individual-level Swiss People’s Party preferences.

https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168016635670