6533b7dbfe1ef96bd12700ee
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents
Tomasz ChodkiewiczStuart H. M. ButchartStuart H. M. ButchartÅKe LindströmVirginia EscandellMagne HusbyTommaso CampedelliPrzemysław ChylareckiJean-yves PaquetChris A. M. Van TurnhoutAinars AuninsRhys E. GreenRhys E. GreenJohn R. SauerLluís BrotonsTibor SzépArco J. Van StrienJiri ReifLucy R. MasonOlivia CroweFrédéric JiguetThomas SattlerSven TrautmannStephen G. WillisJaanus EltsJamie AlisonAleksi LehikoinenSergi HerrandoPetr VorisekDavid G. NoblePhilip A. StephensNorbert TeufelbauerRichard D. GregoryRuud P. B. FoppenHenning Heldbjergsubject
0106 biological sciences010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesAnimal Ecology and PhysiologyClimate ChangePopulationPopulation DynamicsBiodiversityEcological Parameter MonitoringClimate changeBreeding010603 evolutionary biology01 natural sciencesBirdsAbundance (ecology)Animalseducation0105 earth and related environmental scienceseducation.field_of_studyMultidisciplinaryPhenologyEcologyGlobal warmingInterspecific competitionBiodiversity15. Life on landUnited StatesEuropeGeography13. Climate actionSpatial variabilityAnimal MigrationEnvironmental Sciencesdescription
Global climate change is a major threat to biodiversity. Large-scale analyses have generally focused on the impacts of climate change on the geographic ranges of species, and on phenology, the timing of ecological phenomena. Here, we use long-term monitoring of the abundance of breeding birds across Europe and the USA to produce, for both regions, composite population indices for two groups of species: those for which climate suitability has been either improving or declining since 1980. The ratio of these composite indices, the Climate Impact Indicator (CII), reflects the divergent fates of species favored or disadvantaged by climate change. The trend in CII is positive and similar in the two regions. On both continents, interspecific and spatial variation in population abundance trends are well predicted by climate suitability trends. This work has been part-funded by the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, the European Environment Agency, European Commission, and by Durham University’s Grevillea Trust.
year | journal | country | edition | language |
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2016-04-01 |