6533b823fe1ef96bd127e12b

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Network-Constrained Covariate Coefficient and Connection Sign Estimation

Jonas StriaukasMatthias WeberMartin SchumacherHarald Binder

subject

EstimationComputer scienceCovariateType (model theory)AlgorithmRegressionSign (mathematics)Connection (mathematics)Term (time)Event (probability theory)

description

Often, variables are linked to each other via a network. When such a network structure is known, this knowledge can be incorporated into regularized regression settings via a network penalty term. However, when the type of interaction via the network is unknown (that is, whether connections are of an activating or a repressing type), the connection signs have to be estimated simultaneously with the covariate coefficients. This can be done with an algorithm iterating a connection sign estimation step and a covariate coefficient estimation step. We develop such an algorithm and show detailed simulation results and an application forecasting event times. The algorithm performs well in a variety of settings. We also briefly describe the R-package that we developed for this purpose, which is publicly available.

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3211163