6533b824fe1ef96bd1281498
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Do terrorism, organized crime (drug production), and state weakness affect contemporary armed conflicts? An empirical analysis
Carla Monteleonesubject
0209 industrial biotechnologyWeaknessSociology and Political ScienceArmed conflictmedia_common.quotation_subjectconflict duration02 engineering and technologyCriminologyAffect (psychology)Organized crime020901 industrial engineering & automationState (polity)Threshold effect0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineeringmedicineSociologyOrganised crimemedia_commonstate weakneLawPolitical Science and International RelationsTerrorismDrug productionTerrorism020201 artificial intelligence & image processingSecurity councilmedicine.symptomSettore SPS/04 - Scienza Politicadescription
ABSTRACTIn 2014, the UN Security Council emphasized the dangers of terrorism, criminal activity (especially drug production and trafficking), and state weakness in conflict areas. However, neither policy debates nor scholarly analyses have focussed on the potential impact of these elements on conflict dynamics and characteristics, and the investigated partial relationships have led to inconclusive results. This article explores the presence in armed conflicts of terrorist groups among fighting parties, major drug production (indicating the presence of activities typical of criminal organizations), and state failure in the period 1990–2011. Focussing on intrastate conflicts, this article highlights that, while when they are isolated their impact on armed conflicts is limited, when the three factors are simultaneously present, the interactions among them create a sort of threshold effect capable of affecting conflict characteristics and, in particular, conflict duration and incompatibility.
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-12-29 | Global Change, Peace & Security |