6533b825fe1ef96bd12827c6
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Dynamic Risk Assessment of Sexual Offenders: Validity and Dimensional Structure of the Stable-2007.
Reinhard EherSonja EtzlerMartin Rettenbergersubject
Research designPredictive validityAdultMale050103 clinical psychology050109 social psychologyRisk AssessmentmedicineHumans0501 psychology and cognitive sciencesProspective StudiesApplied PsychologyRecidivism05 social sciencesSex OffensesReproducibility of ResultsCriminalsExploratory factor analysisClinical PsychologySexual devianceHypersexualitymedicine.symptomRisk assessmentPsychologyIncremental validityClinical psychologydescription
In this study, the predictive and incremental validity of the Stable-2007 beyond the Static-99 was evaluated in an updated sample of N = 638 adult male sexual offenders followed-up for an average of M = 8.2 years. Data were collected at the Federal Evaluation Center for Violent and Sexual Offenders (FECVSO) in Austria within a prospective-longitudinal research design. Scores and risk categories of the Static-99 (AUC = .721; p < .001) and of the Stable-2007 (AUC = .623, p = .005) were found to be significantly related to sexual recidivism. The Stable-2007 risk categories contributed incrementally to the prediction of sexual recidivism beyond the Static-99. Analyzing the dimensional structure of the Stable-2007 yielded three factors, named Antisociality, Sexual Deviance, and Hypersexuality. Antisociality and Sexual Deviance were significant predictors for sexual recidivism. Sexual Deviance was negatively associated with non-sexual violent recidivism. Comparisons with latent dimensions of other risk assessment instruments are made and implications for applied risk assessment are discussed.
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-06 | Assessment |