6533b82afe1ef96bd128cb64

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Banking crises, labor reforms, and unemployment

Davide FurceriDavide FurceriLorenzo E. Bernal-verdugoLorenzo E. Bernal-verdugoDominique Guillaume

subject

Economics and EconometricsLabour economicsYouth unemploymentFull employmentmedia_common.quotation_subjectUnemploymentEconomicsTerm (time)media_commonMedium term

description

Abstract Using a sample of 97 countries spanning the period 1980–2008, we estimate that banking crises have, on average, a large negative impact on unemployment. This effect, however, largely depends on the flexibility of labor market institutions: while in countries with more flexible labor markets the impact of banking crises is sharper but short-lived, in countries with more rigid labor markets the effect is initially more subdued but highly persistent. These effects are even larger for youth unemployment in the short term, and long-term unemployment in the medium term. Conversely, large upfront, or gradual but significant, comprehensive market reforms have a positive impact on unemployment, albeit only in the medium term.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2013.03.001