6533b853fe1ef96bd12ac0e2

RESEARCH PRODUCT

How news affect the trading behavior of different categories of investors in a financial market

Salvatore MiccichèMichele TumminelloMichele TumminelloFabrizio LilloJyrki PiiloRosario N. Mantegna

subject

ta511Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST)Endogenous Factorsta114Sentiment analysisFinancial marketQuantitative Finance - Statistical FinanceNon profitFinancial marketInvestor behaviourSettore FIS/07 - Fisica Applicata(Beni Culturali Ambientali Biol.e Medicin)Heterogeneity of agentFOS: Economics and businessSettore SECS-S/06 -Metodi Mat. dell'Economia e d. Scienze Attuariali e Finanz.Linear regressionEconometricsEconomicsVolatility (finance)Explanatory powerInformation in capital marketGeneral Economics Econometrics and FinanceFinanceStock (geology)health care economics and organizationsEmpirical time series analysis

description

We investigate the trading behavior of a large set of single investors trading the highly liquid Nokia stock over the period 2003-2008 with the aim of determining the relative role of endogenous and exogenous factors that may affect their behavior. As endogenous factors we consider returns and volatility, whereas the exogenous factors we use are the total daily number of news and a semantic variable based on a sentiment analysis of news. Linear regression and partial correlation analysis of data show that different categories of investors are differently correlated to these factors. Governmental and non profit organizations are weakly sensitive to news and returns or volatility, and, typically, they are more correlated with the former than with the latter. Households and companies, on the contrary, are very sensitive to both endogenous and exogenous factors, and volatility and returns are, on average, much more relevant than the number of news and sentiment, respectively. Finally, financial institutions and foreign organizations are intermediate between these two cases, in terms of both the total explanatory power of these factors and their relative importance.

https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1207.3300