6533b85ffe1ef96bd12c1156

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Contagious loan default

Jann GoedeckeJann Goedecke

subject

Economics and EconometricsMicrofinanceeducation05 social sciencesMonetary economicslaw.inventionShock (economics)Spillover effectlaw0502 economics and businessDefaultBusiness050207 economicshealth care economics and organizations050203 business & managementFinanceCredit risk

description

© 2018 Elsevier B.V. Applying survival analysis to a large loan-level dataset for regulatory purposes on group loans provided by Mexican banks, I find that ex-post credit risk is subject to substantial geographic spillover effects. Potential underlying mechanisms include contagious defaulting behavior, which bears the risk of proliferating into a repayment crisis in the event of an economic or political shock, as experiences from similar markets suggest. ispartof: ECONOMICS LETTERS vol:170 pages:14-18 status: Published online

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.05.028