6533b86cfe1ef96bd12c82d6

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Global, regional, and national burden of stroke, 1990-2016

Johnson CNguyen MRoth GNichols EAlam TAbate DAbd-allah FAbdelalim AAbraha HAbu-rmeileh NAdebayo OAdeoye AAgarwal GAgrawal SAichour AAichour IAichour MAlahdab FAli RAlvis-guzman NAnber NAnjomshoa MArabloo JArauz AArnlov JArora AAwasthi ABanach MBarboza MBarker-collo SBarnighausen TBasu SBelachew ABelayneh YBennett DBensenor IBhattacharyya KBiadgo BBijani ABikbov BBin Sayeed MButt ZLucero Cahuana-hurtadoCarrero JCarvalho FCastaneda-orjuela CCastro FCatala-lopez FChaiah YChiang PChoi JHanne ChristensenChu DCortinovis MDamasceno ADandona LDandona RDaryani ADavletov KDe Courten BDe La Cruz-gongora VDegefa MDharmaratne SDiaz DDubey MDuken EEdessa DEndres MFaraon EFarzadfar FFernandes EFischer FFlor LGanji MGebre AGebremichael TGeta BGezae KGill PGnedovskaya EGomez-dantes HGoulart AGrosso GGuo YGupta RHaj-mirzaian AHaj-mirzaian AHamidi SHankey GHassen HHay SHegazy MHeidari BHerial NHosseini MHostiuc SIrvani SIslam SJahanmehr NJavanbakht MJha RJonas JJozwiak JJurisson MKahsay AKalani RKalkonde YKamil TKanchan TKarch AKarimi NKarimi-sari HKasaeian AKassa TKazemeini HKefale AKhader YKhalil IKhan EKhang YKhubchandani JKim DKim YKisa AKivimaki MKoyanagi AKrishnamurthi RKumar GLafranconi ALewington SLi SLo WLopez ALorkowski SLotufo PMackay MMajdan MMajdzadeh RMajeed AMalekzadeh RManafi NMansournia MMehndiratta MMehta VMengistu GMeretoja AMeretoja TMiazgowski BMiazgowski TMiller TMirrakhimov EMohajer BMohammad YMohammadoo-khorasani MMohammed SMohebi FMokdad AMokhayeri YMoradi GMorawska LVelasquez IMousavi SMuhammed OMuruet WNaderi MNaghavi MNaik GNascimento BNegoi RNguyen CNguyen LNirayo YNorrving BNoubiap JOfori-asenso ROgbo FOlagunju AOlagunju TOwolabi MPandian JPatel SPerico NPiradov MPolinder SPostma MPoustchi HPrakash VQorbani MRafiei ARahim FRahimi KRahimi-movaghar VRahman MRahman MReis CRemuzzi GRenzaho ARicci SRoberts NRobinson SRoever LRoshandel GSabbagh PSafari HSafari SSafiri SSahebkar AZahabi SSamy ASantalucia PSantos ISantos JMilicevic MSartorius BSawant ASchutte ASepanlou SShafieesabet AShaikh MShams-beyranvand MSheikh ASheth KShibuya KShigematsu MShin MShiue ISiabani SSobaih BSposato LSutradhar ISylaja PSzoeke CAo BTemsah MTemsah OThrift ATonelli MTopor-madry RTran BTran KTruelsen TTsadik AUllah IUthman OVaduganathan MValdez PVasankari TVasanthan RVenketasubramanian NVosoughi KVu GWaheed YWeiderpass EWeldegwergs KWesterman RWolfe CWondafrash DXu GYadollahpour AYamada TYatsuya HYimer EYonemoto NYousefifard MYu CZaidi ZZamani MZarghi AZhang YZodpey SFeigin VVos TMurray CGbd 2016 Stroke Collaborators

subject

MaleCost effectivenessIMPACTGlobal HealthGUIDELINES3124 Neurology and psychiatryBrain IschemiaGlobal Burden of DiseaseCOST-EFFECTIVENESS0302 clinical medicineRisk FactorsGlobal healthPrevalenceMedicine030212 general & internal medicineStrokePOPULATIONAged 80 and overRISKeducation.field_of_studyIncidence (epidemiology)Mortality rateIncidenceAge FactorsMiddle AgedPREVALENCEStrokeFemaleLife Sciences & BiomedicineIntracranial HemorrhagesAdultPopulationClinical Neurology03 medical and health sciencesHumanseducationAgedScience & TechnologyNeurology & Neurosurgerybusiness.industry3112 NeurosciencesKlinisk medicin1103 Clinical Sciencesmedicine.diseaseGBD 2016 Stroke CollaboratorsVerbal autopsyTRANSIENT ISCHEMIC ATTACKYears of potential life lostSocioeconomic FactorsHuman medicineNeurosciences & NeurologyNeurology (clinical)Clinical Medicine1109 NeurosciencesbusinessPRIMARY PREVENTION030217 neurology & neurosurgeryDemographyRC

description

Background: Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability worldwide and the economic costs of treatment and post-stroke care are substantial. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic, comparable method of quantifying health loss by disease, age, sex, year, and location to provide information to health systems and policy makers on more than 300 causes of disease and injury, including stroke. The results presented here are the estimates of burden due to overall stroke and ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke from GBD 2016. Methods: We report estimates and corresponding uncertainty intervals (UIs), from 1990 to 2016, for incidence, prevalence, deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). DALYs were generated by summing YLLs and YLDs. Cause-specific mortality was estimated using an ensemble modelling process with vital registration and verbal autopsy data as inputs. Non-fatal estimates were generated using Bayesian meta-regression incorporating data from registries, scientific literature, administrative records, and surveys. The Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator generated using educational attainment, lagged distributed income, and total fertility rate, was used to group countries into quintiles. Findings: In 2016, there were 5·5 million (95% UI 5·3 to 5·7) deaths and 116·4 million (111·4 to 121·4) DALYs due to stroke. The global age-standardised mortality rate decreased by 36·2% (−39·3 to −33·6) from 1990 to 2016, with decreases in all SDI quintiles. Over the same period, the global age-standardised DALY rate declined by 34·2% (−37·2 to −31·5), also with decreases in all SDI quintiles. There were 13·7 million (12·7 to 14·7) new stroke cases in 2016. Global age-standardised incidence declined by 8·1% (−10·7 to −5·5) from 1990 to 2016 and decreased in all SDI quintiles except the middle SDI group. There were 80·1 million (74·1 to 86·3) prevalent cases of stroke globally in 2016; 41·1 million (38·0 to 44·3) in women and 39·0 million (36·1 to 42·1) in men. Interpretation: Although age-standardised mortality rates have decreased sharply from 1990 to 2016, the decrease in age-standardised incidence has been less steep, indicating that the burden of stroke is likely to remain high. Planned updates to future GBD iterations include generating separate estimates for subarachnoid haemorrhage and intracerebral haemorrhage, generating estimates of transient ischaemic attack, and including atrial fibrillation as a risk factor.

10.1016/s1474-4422(19)30034-1https://doi.org/10.1016/s1474-4422(19)30034-1