Search results for "Exponent"
showing 10 items of 896 documents
Some Remarks on Exponential Families
1987
Abstract The following facts may serve to provide a feeling about how restrictive the assumption of an exponential family is. (a) A one-parameter exponential family in standard form with respect to Lebesgue measure is a location parameter family iff it is normal with fixed variance. (b) It is a scale parameter family iff it is gamma with fixed shape parameter. Both facts are known (see Borges and Pfanzagl 1965; Ferguson 1962; Lindley 1958) but may not have received as much attention as they deserve. Under the assumption of differentiable densities, short and elementary proofs are given.
The MLE of the mean of the exponential distribution based on grouped data is stochastically increasing
2016
Abstract This paper refers to the problem stated by Balakrishnan et al. (2002). They proved that maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the exponential mean obtained from grouped samples is stochastically ordered provided that the sequence of the successive distances between inspection times is decreasing. In this paper we show that the assumption of monotonicity of the sequence of distances can be dropped.
A decision support system methodology for forecasting of time series based on soft computing
2006
Exponential procedures are widely used as forecasting techniques for inventory control and business planning. A number of modifications to the generalized exponential smoothing (Holt-Winters) approach to forecasting univariate time series is presented, which have been adapted into a tool for decision support systems. This methodology unifies the phases of estimation and model selection into just one optimization framework which permits the identification of robust solutions. This procedure may provide forecasts from different versions of exponential smoothing by fitting the updated formulas of Holt-Winters and selects the best method using a fuzzy multicriteria approach. The elements of the…
Heavy-tailed targets and (ab)normal asymptotics in diffusive motion
2010
We investigate temporal behavior of probability density functions (pdfs) of paradigmatic jump-type and continuous processes that, under confining regimes, share common heavy-tailed asymptotic (target) pdfs. Namely, we have shown that under suitable confinement conditions, the ordinary Fokker-Planck equation may generate non-Gaussian heavy-tailed pdfs (like e.g. Cauchy or more general L\'evy stable distribution) in its long time asymptotics. For diffusion-type processes, our main focus is on their transient regimes and specifically the crossover features, when initially infinite number of the pdf moments drops down to a few or none at all. The time-dependence of the variance (if in existence…
Parameter orthogonality and conditional profile likelihood: the exponential power function case
1999
Orthogonality, according to Fisher’s metrics, between the parameters of a probability density function, as well as giving rise to a series of statistical implications, makes it possible to express a function of conditional profile likelihood with better properties than the ordinary profile likelihood function. In the present paper the parameters of exponential power function are made orthogonal and the conditional profile likelihood of the shape parameter p is determined in order to study its properties with reference to p estimation. Moreover, by means of a simulation plan, a comparison is made between the estimates of p obtained from the conditional profile log-likelihood and those obtain…
Portfolio optimisation with strictly positive transaction costs and impulse control
1998
One crucial assumption in modern portfolio theory of continuous-time models is the no transaction cost assumption. This assumption normally leads to trading strategies with infinite variation. However, following such a strategy in the presence of transaction costs will lead to immediate ruin. We present an impulse control approach where the investor can change his portfolio only finitely often in finite time intervals. Further, we consider transaction costs including a fixed and a proportional cost component. For the solution of the resulting control problems we present a formal optimal stopping approach and an approach using quasi-variational inequalities. As an application we derive a non…
Diffusive Behavior and the Modeling of Characteristic Times in Limit Order Executions
2007
We present a study of the order book data of the London Stock Exchange for five highly liquid stocks traded during the calendar year 2002. Specifically, we study the first passage time of order book prices needed to observe a prescribed price change Delta, the time to fill (TTF) for executed limit orders and the time to cancel (TTC) for canceled ones. We find that the distribution of the first passage time decays asymptotically in time as a power law with an exponent L_FPT ~ 1.5. The median of the same quantity scales as Delta^1.6, which is different from the Delta^2 behavior expected for Brownian motion. The quantities TTF, and TTC are also asymptotically power law distributed with exponen…
Mononuclear heterocyclic rearrangements. Part 12. Rearrangement of 1,2,4-oxadiazoles into indazoles
1979
The first example of a mononuclear heterocyclic rearrangement involving an XYZ = CCN side-chain sequence is reported. The 3-(o-aminophenyl)-, and 3-(o-methylaminophenyl)-5-methyl-1,2,4-oxadiazoles (3a,b) gave a thermally induced rearrangement into 3-acylaminoindazoles (4a,b). On the other hand, the 3-(o-acetylaminophenyl)-5-methyl-1,2,4-oxadiazole (3c) produced a base induced rearrangement into 3-acetylaminoindazole (4a).
A Scenario Simulation Model of Stock's Volatility Based on a Stationary Markovian Process
2013
In this paper we discuss univariate statistical properties of volatility. We present a parsimonious univariate model that well reproduces two stylized facts of volatility: the power-law decay of the volatility probability density function with exponent α and the power-law decay of the autocorrelation function with exponent β. Such model also reproduces, at least qualitatively, the empirical observation than when the probability density function decays faster, then the autocorrelation decays slower. Another important feature investigated within the model is the mean First Passage Time (mFPT) Tx0 (Λ) of volatility time-series. We show that the proposed model allows to obtain the mFPT in terms…