Search results for "Portfolio optimization"
showing 10 items of 48 documents
Portfolio optimization using a credibility mean-absolute semi-deviation model
2015
We present a cardinality constrained credibility mean-absolute semi-deviation model.We prove relationships for possibility and credibility moments for LR-fuzzy variables.The return on a given portfolio is modeled by means of LR-type fuzzy variables.We solve the portfolio selection problem using an evolutionary procedure with a DSS.We select best portfolio from Pareto-front with a ranking strategy based on Fuzzy VaR. We introduce a cardinality constrained multi-objective optimization problem for generating efficient portfolios within a fuzzy mean-absolute deviation framework. We assume that the return on a given portfolio is modeled by means of LR-type fuzzy variables, whose credibility dist…
Portfolios with fuzzy returns: Selection strategies based on semi-infinite programming
2008
AbstractThis paper provides new models for portfolio selection in which the returns on securities are considered fuzzy numbers rather than random variables. The investor's problem is to find the portfolio that minimizes the risk of achieving a return that is not less than the return of a riskless asset. The corresponding optimal portfolio is derived using semi-infinite programming in a soft framework. The return on each asset and their membership functions are described using historical data. The investment risk is approximated by mean intervals which evaluate the downside risk for a given fuzzy portfolio. This approach is illustrated with a numerical example.
A multi-objective genetic algorithm for cardinality constrained fuzzy portfolio selection
2012
This paper presents a new procedure that extends genetic algorithms from their traditional domain of optimization to fuzzy ranking strategy for selecting efficient portfolios of restricted cardinality. The uncertainty of the returns on a given portfolio is modeled using fuzzy quantities and a downside risk function is used to describe the investor's aversion to risk. The fitness functions are based both on the value and the ambiguity of the trapezoidal fuzzy number which represents the uncertainty on the return. The soft-computing approach allows us to consider uncertainty and vagueness in databases and also to incorporate subjective characteristics into the portfolio selection problem. We …
Fuzzy portfolio selection based on the analysis of efficient frontiers
2011
We present an algorithm for analyzing the geometry of the efficient frontier of the portfolio selection problem with semicontinuous variable and cardinality constraints, and use it as a basis to solve a fuzzy version of the problem, designed to obtain efficient portfolios, in the Markowitz's sense, for which the trade-off between expected return and assumed risk fits better the investor's subjective criteria. We illustrate our proposal with an example solved with LINGO and Mathematica.
Continuous-time portfolio optimization under terminal wealth constraints
1995
Typically portfolio analysis is based on the expected utility or the mean-variance approach. Although the expected utility approach is the more general one, practitioners still appreciate the mean-variance approach. We give a common framework including both types of selection criteria as special cases by considering portfolio problems with terminal wealth constraints. Moreover, we propose a solution method for such constrained problems.
Interactive multiobjective optimization with NIMBUS for decision making under uncertainty
2013
We propose an interactive method for decision making under uncertainty, where uncertainty is related to the lack of understanding about consequences of actions. Such situations are typical, for example, in design problems, where a decision maker has to make a decision about a design at a certain moment of time even though the actual consequences of this decision can be possibly seen only many years later. To overcome the difficulty of predicting future events when no probabilities of events are available, our method utilizes groupings of objectives or scenarios to capture different types of future events. Each scenario is modeled as a multiobjective optimization problem to represent differe…
Varadhan estimates without probability: lower bound
2007
We translate in semi-group theory our proof of Varadhan estimates for subelliptic Laplacians which was using the theory of large deviations of Wentzel-Freidlin and the Malliavin Calculus of Bismut type.
A Conditional Value–at–Risk Model for Insurance Products with Guarantee
2009
We propose a model to select the optimal portfolio which underlies insurance policies with a guarantee. The objective function is defined in order to minimise the conditional value at-risk (CVaR) of the distribution of the losses with respect to a target return. We add operational and regulatory constraints to make the model as flexible as possible when used for real applications. We show that the integration of the asset and liability side yields superior performances with respect to naive fixed-mix portfolios and asset based strategies. We validate the model on out-of-sample scenarios and provide insights on policy design.
Investing for the Long Run
2017
This paper studies long term investing by an investor that maximizes either expected utility from terminal wealth or from consumption. We introduce the concepts of a generalized stochastic discount factor (SDF) and of the minimum price to attain target payouts. The paper finds that the dynamics of the SDF needs to be captured and not the entire market dynamics, which simplifies significantly practical implementations of optimal portfolio strategies. We pay particular attention to the case where the SDF is equal to the inverse of the growth-optimal portfolio in the given market. Then, optimal wealth evolution is closely linked to the growth optimal portfolio. In particular, our concepts allo…