Search results for "Projections"
showing 10 items of 31 documents
Planning for the future : identifying conservation priority areas for Iberian birds under climate change
2018
[Context]: Species are expected to shift their distributions in response to global environmental changes and additional protected areas are needed to encompass the corresponding changes in the distributions of their habitats. Conservation policies are likely to become obsolete unless they integrate the potential impacts of climate and land-use change on biodiversity.
Integrability of orthogonal projections, and applications to Furstenberg sets
2022
Let $\mathcal{G}(d,n)$ be the Grassmannian manifold of $n$-dimensional subspaces of $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, and let $\pi_{V} \colon \mathbb{R}^{d} \to V$ be the orthogonal projection. We prove that if $\mu$ is a compactly supported Radon measure on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ satisfying the $s$-dimensional Frostman condition $\mu(B(x,r)) \leq Cr^{s}$ for all $x \in \mathbb{R}^{d}$ and $r > 0$, then $$\int_{\mathcal{G}(d,n)} \|\pi_{V}\mu\|_{L^{p}(V)}^{p} \, d\gamma_{d,n}(V) \tfrac{1}{2}$ and $t \geq 1 + \epsilon$ for a small absolute constant $\epsilon > 0$. We also prove a higher dimensional analogue of this estimate for codimension-1 Furstenberg sets in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$. As another corollary of our method,…
Constraining Uncertainty in Projected Gross Primary Production With Machine Learning
2020
The terrestrial biosphere is currently slowing down global warming by absorbing about 30% of human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2). The largest flux of the terrestrial carbon uptake is gross primary production (GPP) defined as the production of carbohydrates by photosynthesis. Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration is expected to increase GPP (“CO2 fertilization effect”). However, Earth system models (ESMs) exhibit a large range in simulated GPP projections. In this study, we combine an existing emergent constraint on CO2 fertilization with a machine learning approach to constrain the spatial variations of multimodel GPP projections. In a first step, we use observed changes in the CO2 sea…
Time trends and short term projections of cancer prevalence in France
2018
IF 2.888 (2017); International audience; BackgroundThis study analyzes time trends in cancer prevalence in France and provides short-term projections up to the year 2017. The 15-year prevalence for 24 cancers was estimated from the French cancer registries network (FRANCIM) incidence and survival data.MethodWe estimated prevalence using the P = I × S relationship, with flexible modeling of incidence and survival. Based on observations of the incidence and survival up to 2010, different scenarios for evolution up to 2017 were studied, combining stable and dynamic incidence and survival. The determinants of variations in prevalence (incidence, survival and demography) were quantified.ResultsA…
Le vieillissement des personnes en situation de handicap : un regard démographique sur la Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
2018
The aging of people with disabilities has become, in the last forty years, a significant issue in the medico-social sector and also in our society. The lengthening of life is a positive phenomenon, a result of the efforts to professionalize the accompaniment of people with disabilities. Aging is a process, certainly irreversible, but natural. If a few people are the rare witnesses, in the 1980s, the phenomenon grows with time and becomes a demographic phenomenon. For the demographer, the notion of aging applies to a population and not to individuals. The observation of this process makes it possible to predict the trend of the changing needs of a population in the health, social and medico-…
Bias correction of dynamically downscaled precipitation to compute soil water deficit for explaining year-to-year variation of tree growth over north…
2017
This paper documents the accuracy of a post-correction method applied to precipitation regionalized by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Regional Climate Model (RCM) for improving simulated rainfall and feeding impact studies. The WRF simulation covers Burgundy (northeastern France) at a 8-km resolution and over a 20-year long period (1989–2008). Previous results show a strong deficiency of the WRF model for simulating precipitation, especially when convective processes are involved. In order to reduce such biases, a Quantile Mapping (QM) method is applied to WRF-simulated precipitation using the mesoscale atmospheric analyses system SAFRAN («Système d'Analyse Fournissant des Rense…
Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios.
2018
The Paris Agreement binds all nations to undertake ambitious efforts to combat climate change, with the commitment to hold warming well below 2 degrees C in global mean temperature (GMT), relative to pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5 degrees C. The 1.5 degrees C limit constitutes an ambitious goal for which greater evidence on its benefits for health would help guide policy and potentially increase the motivation for action. Here we contribute to this gap with an assessment on the potential health benefits, in terms of reductions in temperature-related mortality, derived from the compliance to the agreed temperature targets, compared to more extreme warmin…
Verso una dimensione narrativa delle mappe
2021
Tra il pensiero e la costruzione dell’architettura il disegno ha un ruolo baricentrico per connettere i diversi protagonisti di una realizzazione e per coinvolgere la collettività facendo percepire inedite prospettive. La scrittura si rivela utile per esplicitare ciò che nella grafica è sotteso e per stabilire un ordine nuovo nel ragionamento progettuale. I rapporti fra segni e significati si moltiplicano nei sistemi informativi recenti in cui si ha la sensazione di poter dire moltissimo (dati numerici e spaziali) ma a volte sfugge quella sintesi indispensabile per una interpretazione concreta, finalizzata alla costruzione di possibili esperienze fisiche. Per l’esplorazione dell’uso di dive…
Erratum to “Time trends and short term projections of cancer prevalence in France” [Cancer Epidemiol. 56 (2018) 97–105]
2018
IF 2.888 (2017); International audience
Making nonlinear manifold learning models interpretable: The manifold grand tour
2015
Smooth nonlinear topographic maps of the data distribution to guide a Grand Tour visualisation.Prioritisation of data linear views that are most consistent with data structure in the maps.Useful visualisations that cannot be obtained by other more classical approaches. Dimensionality reduction is required to produce visualisations of high dimensional data. In this framework, one of the most straightforward approaches to visualising high dimensional data is based on reducing complexity and applying linear projections while tumbling the projection axes in a defined sequence which generates a Grand Tour of the data. We propose using smooth nonlinear topographic maps of the data distribution to…