Search results for "Spatio-Temporal"
showing 10 items of 119 documents
Locally weighted spatio-temporal minimum contrast for Log-Gaussian Cox Processes
2022
We propose a local version of the spatio-temporal log-Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs) employing the Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions into the minimum contrast procedure to obtain space as well as time-varying parameters. We resort to the joint minimum contrast method fitting method to estimate the set of second-order parameters for the class of spatio-temporal LGCPs. This approach has the advantage of being usable in the case of both separable and non-separable parametric specifications of the correlation function of the underlying Gaussian Random Field (GRF).
Hawkes processes on networks for crime data
2022
Motivated by the analysis of crime data in Bucaramanga (Colombia), we propose a spatio-temporal Hawkes point process model adapted to events living on linear networks. We first consider a non-parametric modelling strategy, for both the background and the triggering components, and then we include a parametric estimation of the background based on covariates, and a non-parametric one of the triggering effects. Our network model outperforms a planar version, improving the fitting of the self-exciting point process model.
Dimensionality reduction for large spatio-temporal datasets based on SVD
2009
Many models for spatio-temporal measurements Z(s; t) can be written as a sum of a systematic component and a residual component: Z = M + E. The approach presented here incorporates two Singular Value Decompositions (SVD). The first SVD is applied to the space-time data matrix Z with cross-validation to choose the number of smoothed singular vectors to use as temporal basis functions for modelling spatially varying temporal trend in the matrix M. The second SVD is applied to the spatio-temporal matrix E of residuals from the trend models fitted at each site; it represents spatially correlated short time scale temporal processes. The remaining stochastic structure is explained by simple autor…
A spatio-temporal model based on the SVD to analyze large spatio-temporal datasets
2009
A common problem in the analysis of space-time data is to compress a large dataset in order to extract the underlying trends. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is a useful tool for examining both the temporal and the spatial variation in atmospherical and physical process and a convenient method of performing this is the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD). Many spatio-temporal models for measurements Z(s; t) at location s at time t, can be written as a sum of a systematic component and a residual component: Z = M+E, where Z, M and E are all T x N matrices. Our approach permits modeling of incomplete data matrices using an "EM-like" iterative algorithm for the SVD. We model the tr…
Spatio‐temporal classification in point patterns under the presence of clutter
2019
We consider the problem of detection of features in the presence of clutter for spatio-temporal point patterns. In previous studies, related to the spatial context, Kth nearest-neighbor distances to classify points between clutter and features. In particular, a mixture of distributions whose parameters were estimated using an expectation-maximization algorithm. This paper extends this methodology to the spatio-temporal context by considering the properties of the spatio-temporal Kth nearest-neighbor distances. For this purpose, we make use of a couple of spatio-temporal distances, which are based on the Euclidean and the maximum norms. We show close forms for the probability distributions o…
Self-exciting point process modelling of crimes on linear networks
2022
Although there are recent developments for the analysis of first and second-order characteristics of point processes on networks, there are very few attempts in introducing models for network data. Motivated by the analysis of crime data in Bucaramanga (Colombia), we propose a spatiotemporal Hawkes point process model adapted to events living on linear networks. We first consider a non-parametric modelling strategy, for which we follow a non-parametric estimation of both the background and the triggering components. Then we consider a semi-parametric version, including a parametric estimation of the background based on covariates, and a non-parametric one of the triggering effects. Our mode…
Local inhomogeneous second-order characteristics for spatio-temporal point processes occurring on linear networks
2022
AbstractPoint processes on linear networks are increasingly being considered to analyse events occurring on particular network-based structures. In this paper, we extend Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions to the non-Euclidean space of linear networks, allowing to obtain information on how events relate to nearby events. In particular, we propose the local version of two inhomogeneous second-order statistics for spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks, the K- and the pair correlation functions. We put particular emphasis on the local K-functions, deriving come theoretical results which enable us to show that these LISTA functions are useful for diagn…
Inhomogeneous spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks for visitors’ stops data
2022
We analyse the spatio-temporal distribution of visitors' stops by touristic attractions in Palermo (Italy) using theory of stochastic point processes living on linear networks. We first propose an inhomogeneous Poisson point process model, with a separable parametric spatio-temporal first-order intensity. We account for the spatial interaction among points on the given network, fitting a Gibbs point process model with mixed effects for the purely spatial component. This allows us to study first-order and second-order properties of the point pattern, accounting both for the spatio-temporal clustering and interaction and for the spatio-temporal scale at which they operate. Due to the strong d…
Spatio-temporal small area surveillance of the COVID-19 pandemic
2022
Abstract The emergence of COVID-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with small units of analysis, are a priority in this context. These models provide geographically detailed and temporally updated overviews of the current state of the pandemic, making public health interventions more effective. These models also allow estimating epidemiological indicators highly demanded for COVID-19 surveillance, such as the instantaneous reproduction number R t , even for small areas. In this paper, we propose a new spatio-temporal spline model particularly suited for COVID-19 surveillance, which allows estimating a…
Assessing local differences between the spatio-temporal second-order structure of two point patterns occurring on the same linear network
2021
Abstract We introduce Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions on linear networks and use them to build a statistical test for local second-order structure. This allows to identify differences in the spatio-temporal clustering behaviour of two point patterns, a point pattern of interest and a background one, both occurring on the same linear network. We assess the performance of the testing procedure for local second-order structure through simulation studies under a variety of scenarios that also account for different generating point processes. We show that the proposed local test is able to correctly identify the spatio-temporal difference in the local second-ord…