Search results for "Spot contract"
showing 3 items of 13 documents
On the Pricing and Hedging of Options on Commodity Forward and Futures Contracts - A Note
2007
In recent years there appeared some organized markets for forward contracts and options on these contracts. In this paper we review shortly the organization of trade on a centralized forward market. Assuming a friction-free market with constant interest rate we build a consistent continuous time framework for the valuation and hedging of options on a forward or a futures contract. This framework takes into account the peculiarities of a forward/futures contract. In our framework we consider the pricing and hedging of options on a forward contract and reconsider the Black-76 model for the pricing and hedging of options on a futures contract.
Stochastic modeling of Supramax spot and forward freight rates
2015
We conducted an empirical analysis of Supramax spot rates and propose a continuous time process to model the dynamics. The model incorporates features relevant for shipping freight rates, freight rate volatility that varies over time, sudden, big freight rate movements, and short-term, mean-reverting price trends. This suggests some degree of short-term predictability of Supramax spot rates, making shipping different from traditional asset markets, like stocks and currencies, and also most commodity markets. However, this does not imply that arbitrage profits are easily picked up in this market, as, financially speaking, spot freight rates are not traded assets. We instead focus on the rela…
Cross-Commodity Spot Price Modeling with Stochastic Volatility and Leverage For Energy Markets
2013
Spot prices in energy markets exhibit special features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, inverse leverage effect, and dependencies between the commodities. In this paper a multivariate stochastic volatility model is introduced which captures these features. The second-order structure and stationarity of the model are analyzed in detail. A simulation method for Monte Carlo generation of price paths is introduced and a numerical example is presented.