Search results for "Stochastic process"

Nucleotide's bilinear indices: Novel bio-macromolecular descriptors for bioinformatics studies of nucleic acids. I. Prediction of paromomycin's affin…

2009

A new set of nucleotide-based bio-macromolecular descriptors are presented. This novel approach to bio-macromolecular design from a linear algebra point of view is relevant to nucleic acids quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) studies. These bio-macromolecular indices are based on the calculus of bilinear maps on Re(n)[b(mk)(x (m),y (m)):Re(n) x Re(n)--Re] in canonical basis. Nucleic acid's bilinear indices are calculated from kth power of non-stochastic and stochastic nucleotide's graph-theoretic electronic-contact matrices, M(m)(k) and (s)M(m)(k), respectively. That is to say, the kth non-stochastic and stochastic nucleic acid's bilinear indices are calculated using M(m)(k)…

Statistical Analysis of Biological Models with Uncertainty

2020

In this contribution relevant biological models, based on random differential equations, are studied. For the sake of generality, we assume that the initial condition and the biological model parameters are dependent random variables with arbitrary probability distributions. We present a general methodology that enables us to provide a full probabilistic description of the solution stochastic process for each stochastic model. The statistical analysis is performed through the calculation of the first probability function by applying the random variable transformation technique. From the first probability density function, we can calculate any one-dimensional moment of the solution, includin…

Efficient Computation of Multiscale Entropy over Short Biomedical Time Series Based on Linear State-Space Models

2017

The most common approach to assess the dynamical complexity of a time series across multiple temporal scales makes use of the multiscale entropy (MSE) and refined MSE (RMSE) measures. In spite of their popularity, MSE and RMSE lack an analytical framework allowing their calculation for known dynamic processes and cannot be reliably computed over short time series. To overcome these limitations, we propose a method to assess RMSE for autoregressive (AR) stochastic processes. The method makes use of linear state-space (SS) models to provide the multiscale parametric representation of an AR process observed at different time scales and exploits the SS parameters to quantify analytically the co…

Econophysics and the challenge of efficiency

2009

Stochastic Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting Using Time-Delay Reservoir Computers: Performance and Universality

2014

International audience; Reservoir computing is a recently introduced machine learning paradigm that has already shown excellent performances in the processing of empirical data. We study a particular kind of reservoir computers called time-delay reservoirs that are constructed out of the sampling of the solution of a time-delay diFFerential equation and show their good performance in the forecasting of the conditional covariances associated to multivariate discrete-time nonlinear stochastic processes of VEC-GARCH type as well as in the prediction of factual daily market realized volatilities computed with intraday quotes, using as training input daily log-return series of moderate size. We …

Multivariate stochastic wave generation

1996

Abstract In this paper, for the case of the fluid particle velocity, a procedure that substantially reduces the computational effort to generate a multivariate stochastic process is proposed. It is shown that, for a fully coherent wave field, it is possible to decompose the Power Spectral Density (PSD) matrix into the eigenvectors of the matrix itself. This leads to generate each field's process as independent, and the time generation increases linearly with the processes' number in the field. A numerical example to evaluate the statistical properties, in terms of correlation and cross-correlation functions, of the processes is also presented.

Information decomposition in the frequency domain: a new framework to study cardiovascular and cardiorespiratory oscillations

2021

While cross-spectral and information-theoretic approaches are widely used for the multivariate analysis of physiological time series, their combined utilization is far less developed in the literature. This study introduces a framework for the spectral decomposition of multivariate information measures, which provides frequency-specific quantifications of the information shared between a target and two source time series and of its expansion into amounts related to how the sources contribute to the target dynamics with unique, redundant and synergistic information. The framework is illustrated in simulations of linearly interacting stochastic processes, showing how it allows us to retrieve …

Multivariate and Multiscale Complexity of Long-Range Correlated Cardiovascular and Respiratory Variability Series

2020

Assessing the dynamical complexity of biological time series represents an important topic with potential applications ranging from the characterization of physiological states and pathological conditions to the calculation of diagnostic parameters. In particular, cardiovascular time series exhibit a variability produced by different physiological control mechanisms coupled with each other, which take into account several variables and operate across multiple time scales that result in the coexistence of short term dynamics and long-range correlations. The most widely employed technique to evaluate the dynamical complexity of a time series at different time scales, the so-called multiscale …

The grass is always greener on the other side of the fence: the effect of misperceived signalling in a network formation process

2007

Social and economic networks are becoming increasingly popular in the last ten years, because of both the application of game theory to the network formation processes4, and the study of stochastic processes that fit the statistical properties of real world social networks.5 In the very recent years there have also been attempts to combine the contribution of these two streams of research, trying to find strategic models whose equilibria resemble the empirical data.6 A well known source of debate in the game theoretical approach is the incompatibility between stability and efficiency: in most of the models Nash equilibria are actually not the network architectures that maximize the overall …

Inclusion of Instantaneous Influences in the Spectral Decomposition of Causality: Application to the Control Mechanisms of Heart Rate Variability

2021

Heart rate variability is the result of several physiological regulation mechanisms, including cardiovascular and cardiorespiratory interactions. Since instantaneous influences occurring within the same cardiac beat are commonplace in this regulation, their inclusion is mandatory to get a realistic model of physiological causal interactions. Here we exploit a recently proposed framework for the spectral decomposition of causal influences between autoregressive processes [2] and generalize it by introducing instantaneous couplings in the vector autoregressive model (VAR). We show the effectiveness of the proposed approach on a toy model, and on real data consisting of heart period (RR), syst…