Search results for "temporal"
showing 10 items of 1095 documents
Multiscale Granger causality
2017
In the study of complex physical and biological systems represented by multivariate stochastic processes, an issue of great relevance is the description of the system dynamics spanning multiple temporal scales. While methods to assess the dynamic complexity of individual processes at different time scales are well-established, multiscale analysis of directed interactions has never been formalized theoretically, and empirical evaluations are complicated by practical issues such as filtering and downsampling. Here we extend the very popular measure of Granger causality (GC), a prominent tool for assessing directed lagged interactions between joint processes, to quantify information transfer a…
Accounting for previous events to model and predict traffic accidents at the road segment level: A study in Valencia (Spain)
2022
Abstract Predicting the occurrence of traffic accidents is essential for establishing preventive measures and reducing the impact of traffic accidents. In particular, it is fundamental to make predictions using fine spatio-temporal units. In this paper, the daily risk of traffic accident occurrence across the road network of Valencia (Spain) is modeled through logistic regression models. The spatio-temporal dependence between the observations is accounted for through the inclusion of lagged binary covariates representing the previous occurrence of a traffic accident within a spatio-temporal window centered at each combination of day and segment of the network. A temporal distance of 28 days…
Local inhomogeneous second-order characteristics for spatio-temporal point processes occurring on linear networks
2022
AbstractPoint processes on linear networks are increasingly being considered to analyse events occurring on particular network-based structures. In this paper, we extend Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions to the non-Euclidean space of linear networks, allowing to obtain information on how events relate to nearby events. In particular, we propose the local version of two inhomogeneous second-order statistics for spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks, the K- and the pair correlation functions. We put particular emphasis on the local K-functions, deriving come theoretical results which enable us to show that these LISTA functions are useful for diagn…
Inhomogeneous spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks for visitors’ stops data
2022
We analyse the spatio-temporal distribution of visitors' stops by touristic attractions in Palermo (Italy) using theory of stochastic point processes living on linear networks. We first propose an inhomogeneous Poisson point process model, with a separable parametric spatio-temporal first-order intensity. We account for the spatial interaction among points on the given network, fitting a Gibbs point process model with mixed effects for the purely spatial component. This allows us to study first-order and second-order properties of the point pattern, accounting both for the spatio-temporal clustering and interaction and for the spatio-temporal scale at which they operate. Due to the strong d…
Gamma Kernel Intensity Estimation in Temporal Point Processes
2011
In this article, we propose a nonparametric approach for estimating the intensity function of temporal point processes based on kernel estimators. In particular, we use asymmetric kernel estimators characterized by the gamma distribution, in order to describe features of observed point patterns adequately. Some characteristics of these estimators are analyzed and discussed both through simulated results and applications to real data from different seismic catalogs.
Spatio-temporal small area surveillance of the COVID-19 pandemic
2022
Abstract The emergence of COVID-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with small units of analysis, are a priority in this context. These models provide geographically detailed and temporally updated overviews of the current state of the pandemic, making public health interventions more effective. These models also allow estimating epidemiological indicators highly demanded for COVID-19 surveillance, such as the instantaneous reproduction number R t , even for small areas. In this paper, we propose a new spatio-temporal spline model particularly suited for COVID-19 surveillance, which allows estimating a…
Assessing local differences between the spatio-temporal second-order structure of two point patterns occurring on the same linear network
2021
Abstract We introduce Local Indicators of Spatio-Temporal Association (LISTA) functions on linear networks and use them to build a statistical test for local second-order structure. This allows to identify differences in the spatio-temporal clustering behaviour of two point patterns, a point pattern of interest and a background one, both occurring on the same linear network. We assess the performance of the testing procedure for local second-order structure through simulation studies under a variety of scenarios that also account for different generating point processes. We show that the proposed local test is able to correctly identify the spatio-temporal difference in the local second-ord…
Creació de guions gràfics per treballar seqüències espai-temporals mitjançant StoryboardThat
2018
Els guions gràfics permeten presentar la informació d’una manera senzilla i visual, de manera que aquest pot ser un recurs molt interessant per treballar amb tot tipus d’alumnat, i en especial amb alumnes amb qualsevol tipus de Necessitat Específica de Suport Educatiu (NESE), però en concret, és especialment atractiu per als alumnes amb Trastorn de l’Espectre Autista (TEA), i també per als alumnes que presenten dificultats per establir seqüències espai-temporals. Per aquest motiu, en aquesta activitat es proposa que els futurs mestres aprengueren a elaborar un guió gràfic mitjançant l’aplicació StoryboardThat. Aquest recurs no sols permet als docents elaborar materials per a facilitar l’apr…
Recent advances in local probe techniques in corrosion research – Analysis of the role of stress on pitting sensitivity
2007
Local probe techniques have been largely applied to predict the spatial distribution of the electrochemical reactions and to quantify the corrosion rate. These local probe techniques are now being developed to capture the temporal information, in-situ and in real-time. Nevertheless only few works have been devoted to investigate with these local probes the role of stress on pitting sensitivity on passive materials. In this paper, a part of the most recent studies based on combination of local electrochemical measurements with finite element mapping of surface stress gradients are reported illustrating the role of inclusions under straining and the mechanical effect of surface preparation on…
The impact of user’s availability on On-line Ego Networks: a Facebook analysis
2016
We have defined and implemented a Facebook application to log a Facebook dataset.We have studied and validated the structural properties of the whole dataset and of the Dunbar ego networks.We have analyzed the interactions of the users.The availability of the users in the Dunbar ego networks have been investigated.Our results reveal the presence of the temporal homophily property in the Dunbar ego networks. Online Social Networks (OSNs) are the most popular applications in todays Internet and they have changed the way people interact with each other. Understanding the structural properties of OSNs and, in particular, how users behave when they connect to OSNs is crucial for designing user-c…