Search results for "uncertainty."

showing 10 items of 972 documents

A value for multichoice games

2000

Abstract A multichoice game is a generalization of a cooperative TU game in which each player has several activity levels. We study the solution for these games proposed by Van Den Nouweland et al. (1995) [Van Den Nouweland, A., Potters, J., Tijs, S., Zarzuelo, J.M., 1995. Cores and related solution concepts for multi-choice games. ZOR-Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 41, 289–311]. We show that this solution applied to the discrete cost sharing model coincides with the Aumann-Shapley method proposed by Moulin (1995) [Moulin, H., 1995. On additive methods to share joint costs. The Japanese Economic Review 46, 303–332]. Also, we show that the Aumann-Shapley value for continuum game…

Sociology and Political ScienceGeneralizationMoulinGeneral Social SciencesShapley valueConvergence (routing)Continuum (set theory)Limit (mathematics)Statistics Probability and UncertaintyValue (mathematics)Mathematical economicsGeneral PsychologyAxiomMathematicsMathematical Social Sciences
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Duopoly experimentation: Cournot competition

1999

Abstract This paper analyzes learning behavior in an industry facing uncertainty. We consider a duopoly game where firms have imperfect information about market demand and they learn through observing market prices. The main body of our study consists of showing how firms make the price a more informative signal through their experimental behavior, and how this behavior compares to its monopoly counterpart. We extend previous analysis to the case where the demand unknown parameter takes values on the real line. We also find that experimentation under Cournot duopoly is smaller than under monopoly whenever the demand's unknown parameter is sufficiently precise.

Sociology and Political SciencePerfect informationGeneral Social SciencesCournot competitionSupply and demandMicroeconomicsMarket priceEconomicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyMonopolyDuopolyGeneral PsychologyLearning behaviorIndustrial organizationMathematical Social Sciences
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Existence of competitive equilibrium in a non-optimal one-sector economy without conditions on the distorted marginal product of capital

2012

Abstract This paper develops a method for proving the existence of competitive equilibrium in a distorted/non-optimal one-sector economy–a discrete time variant of the Romer model–without conditions on the equilibrium value of the marginal product of capital. Existence is obtained under weaker conditions than in Le Van et al. (2002) . Moreover, we provide an existence result for an economy with a regressive tax studied in Santos (2002) . The proofs rely on ideas of Becker and Boyd (1997) .

Sociology and Political ScienceRomerGeneral Social SciencesCompetitive equilibriumMathematical proofMicroeconomicsDiscrete time and continuous timeEconomyValue (economics)EconomicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyMathematical economicsGeneral PsychologyRegressive taxMarginal product of capitalMathematical Social Sciences
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Answers to the uncertainty from the workers in the Valencian textile and clothing sector

2013

La gestión política y empresarial de la liberalización del comercio de sus productos abrió a mediados de la década del 2000 una importante crisis en el sector del textil-confección. Una crisis especialmente aguda en las comarcas valencianas de l’Alcoià, el Comtat y la Vall d’Albaida donde no sólo la economía sino también el imaginario social de sus habitantes se ha construido tradicionalmente sobre este sector. Esta situación sirvió para la investigación que origina el artículo como metáfora de la percepción de la incertidumbre, entendida ésta como la falta de códigos válidos para dotar de signifi-cado los hechos que se viven en la cotidianeidad y en consecuencia la incapacidad para planifi…

Sociology and Political ScienceincertidumbreMetaphorEconomic policymedia_common.quotation_subjectCrisi financera global 2007-2009sector textil-confecciónValencianbienestarPoliticsBenestar socialSociologyEveryday lifeFree tradeThe Imaginarymedia_commonConsumption (economics)textile and clothing sectorIndústria tèxtilbusiness.industryUncertaintyClothinglanguage.human_languagewelfareEconomyestrategiasstrategieslanguageCiencias Sociales > SociologíaConsum (Economia)business
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Eurocity London: a qualitative comparison of graduate migration from Germany, Italy and Latvia

2016

This paper compares the motivations and characteristics of the recent migration to London of young-adult graduates from Germany, Italy and Latvia. Conceptually the paper links three domains: the theory of core–periphery structures within Europe; the notion of London as both a global city and a ‘Eurocity’; and the trope of ‘crisis’. The dataset analysed consists of 95 in-depth biographical interviews and the paper’s main objective is to tease out the narrative similarities and differences between the three groups interviewed. Each of the three nationalities represents a different geo-economic positioning within Europe. German graduates move from one economically prosperous country to another…

Sociology and Political Sciencemedia_common.quotation_subjectGeography Planning and Development0507 social and economic geographyGermanGlobal city050602 political science & public administrationNarrativeSociologyDemographymedia_common4. Education05 social sciencesLatvianAmbiguityCore peripherylanguage.human_language0506 political scienceEconomyMulticulturalism8. Economic growthFinancial crisislanguageStatistics Probability and Uncertainty050703 geographyLawComparative Migration Studies
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Author response to the contributors to the discussion on “A critical evaluation of the current ‘p -value controversy’”

2017

Statistics and Probability010104 statistics & probability03 medical and health sciences0302 clinical medicineMEDLINE030212 general & internal medicineGeneral Medicine0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyCurrent (fluid)Positive economicsPsychology01 natural sciencesBiometrical Journal
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Discussion of "modern statistics of spatial point processes"

2007

The paper ‘Modern statistics for spatial point processes' by Jesper Møller and Rasmus P. Waagepetersen is based on a special invited lecture given by the authors at the 21st Nordic Conference on Mathematical Statistics, held at Rebild, Denmark, in June 2006. At the conference, Antti Penttinen and Eva B. Vedel Jensen were invited to discuss the paper. We here present the comments from the two invited discussants and from a number of other scholars, as well as the authors' responses to these comments. Below Figure 1, Figure 2, etc., refer to figures in the paper under discussion, while Figure A, Figure B, etc., refer to figures in the current discussion. All numbered sections and formulas ref…

Statistics and Probability010104 statistics & probabilityPoint (typography)[MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST]010102 general mathematicsStatisticsMathematical statistics[STAT.TH]Statistics [stat]/Statistics Theory [stat.TH]0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and Uncertainty01 natural sciencesPoint processMathematics
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for High Dimensional Inversion in Remote Sensing

2004

SummaryWe discuss the inversion of the gas profiles (ozone, NO3, NO2, aerosols and neutral density) in the upper atmosphere from the spectral occultation measurements. The data are produced by the ‘Global ozone monitoring of occultation of stars’ instrument on board the Envisat satellite that was launched in March 2002. The instrument measures the attenuation of light spectra at various horizontal paths from about 100 km down to 10–20 km. The new feature is that these data allow the inversion of the gas concentration height profiles. A short introduction is given to the present operational data management procedure with examples of the first real data inversion. Several solution options for…

Statistics and Probability010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesAttenuationInversion (meteorology)Markov chain Monte CarloDensity estimationInverse problem01 natural sciencesOccultation010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakeMetropolis–Hastings algorithmStatisticsPrior probabilitysymbols0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintyAlgorithm0105 earth and related environmental sciencesMathematicsJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
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Interval estimation for the breakpoint in segmented regression: a smoothed score-based approach

2017

Summary This paper is concerned with interval estimation for the breakpoint parameter in segmented regression. We present score-type confidence intervals derived from the score statistic itself and from the recently proposed gradient statistic. Due to lack of regularity conditions of the score, non-smoothness and non-monotonicity, naive application of the score-based statistics is unfeasible and we propose to exploit the smoothed score obtained via induced smoothing. We compare our proposals with the traditional methods based on the Wald and the likelihood ratio statistics via simulations and an analysis of a real dataset: results show that the smoothed score-like statistics perform in prac…

Statistics and Probability010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesInterval estimationBreakpointinduced smoothingScore01 natural sciencesConfidence intervalchangepoint010104 statistics & probabilitypiecewise linear relationshipconfidence intervalscore inferenceStatistics0101 mathematicsStatistics Probability and UncertaintySegmented regressionSettore SECS-S/01 - StatisticaStatisticSmoothing0105 earth and related environmental sciencesMathematicsAustralian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics
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Modeling Forest Tree Data Using Sequential Spatial Point Processes

2021

AbstractThe spatial structure of a forest stand is typically modeled by spatial point process models. Motivated by aerial forest inventories and forest dynamics in general, we propose a sequential spatial approach for modeling forest data. Such an approach is better justified than a static point process model in describing the long-term dependence among the spatial location of trees in a forest and the locations of detected trees in aerial forest inventories. Tree size can be used as a surrogate for the unknown tree age when determining the order in which trees have emerged or are observed on an aerial image. Sequential spatial point processes differ from spatial point processes in that the…

Statistics and Probability010504 meteorology & atmospheric scienceshistory-dependent modelpaikkatietoanalyysi01 natural sciencesPoint process010104 statistics & probabilityilmakuvakartoitusfunctional summary statisticsFeature (machine learning)spatial point processes0101 mathematicsmaximum likelihoodtilastolliset mallitAerial image0105 earth and related environmental sciencesGeneral Environmental ScienceForest dynamicsSpatial structureApplied Mathematics15. Life on landAgricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)Tree (graph theory)metsänarviointiData setEnvironmental sciencekaukokartoitusStatistics Probability and UncertaintyGeneral Agricultural and Biological SciencesPoint process modelsCartographyordered sequence
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