6533b823fe1ef96bd127ebb3

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Modelling the dynamics of the students’ academic performance in the German region of the North Rhine-Westphalia: an epidemiological approach with uncertainty

Matthias EhrhardtA. Sánchez-sánchezFrancisco-josé SantonjaRafael J. VillanuevaJuan Carlos Cortés

subject

Applied MathematicsForecasting in Social SciencesNon-linear System of Differential EquationsModellingConfidence intervallanguage.human_languageComputer Science ApplicationsGermanBootstrap Confidence Intervals.Computational Theory and MathematicsSystem of differential equationsDynamics (music)ComputingMilieux_COMPUTERSANDEDUCATIONMathematics educationlanguageStudent Academic PerformanceBootstrap confidence intervalMATEMATICA APLICADAMathematics

description

Student academic underachievement is a concern of paramount importance in Europe, where around 15% of the students in the last high school courses do not achieve the minimum knowledge academic requirement. In this paper, we propose a model based on a system of differential equations to study the dynamics of the students academic performance in the German region of North Rhine-Westphalia. This approach is supported by the idea that both, good and bad study habits, are a mixture of personal decisions and influence of classmates. This model allows us to forecast the student academic performance by means of confidence intervals over the next few years.

https://doi.org/10.1080/00207160.2013.813937