6533b827fe1ef96bd1285d73

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Measuring tourism seasonality across European countries

Stefano De CantisGiovanni Luca Lo MagnoMauro Ferrante

subject

European levelIndex (economics)Seasonal variationStrategy and Management05 social sciencesTransportationGini indexDevelopmentSeasonalitymedicine.diseaseSpatial distributionEuropeGeographySeasonal patternOrder (exchange)Tourism Leisure and Hospitality Management0502 economics and businessmedicineSeasonality index050211 marketingSeasonal amplitudeEconomic geographySettore SECS-S/05 - Statistica Sociale050212 sport leisure & tourismTourism

description

Abstract This paper will propose a general approach for the analysis and measurement of seasonality in tourism, based on an analysis of the pattern of seasonal swing, as a preliminary step for the assessment of seasonal amplitude. The seasonality of tourism demand across European countries will be analyzed and clusters of countries identified, which are based on a similarity of their seasonal pattern. After discussing the limitations of the most frequently used indices employed in the tourism literature, a new index for measuring seasonality in tourism will be suggested in order to measure seasonal amplitude. The latter takes into account the ordinal and cyclical structures of seasonal variations. The results demonstrate a strong connection between seasonal patterns and the spatial distribution throughout European countries, which may orient future policy actions for dealing with seasonality on a European level.

10.1016/j.tourman.2018.03.015http://hdl.handle.net/10447/294516