6533b855fe1ef96bd12b1364

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Overall Objective Priors

Dongchu SunJames O. BergerJosé M. Bernardo

subject

Statistics and ProbabilityComputer sciencebusiness.industryApplied MathematicsMathematics - Statistics TheoryStatistics Theory (math.ST)Joint Reference PriorReference AnalysisMachine learningcomputer.software_genreLogarithmic DivergenceObjective PriorsVariety (cybernetics)Single objectiveMultinomial ModelPrior probabilityFOS: MathematicsMultinomial distributionMultinomial modelArtificial intelligencebusinesscomputerReference analysis

description

In multi-parameter models, reference priors typically depend on the parameter or quantity of interest, and it is well known that this is necessary to produce objective posterior distributions with optimal properties. There are, however, many situations where one is simultaneously interested in all the parameters of the model or, more realistically, in functions of them that include aspects such as prediction, and it would then be useful to have a single objective prior that could safely be used to produce reasonable posterior inferences for all the quantities of interest. In this paper, we consider three methods for selecting a single objective prior and study, in a variety of problems including the multinomial problem, whether or not the resulting prior is a reasonable overall prior.

https://doi.org/10.1214/14-ba915