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RESEARCH PRODUCT

On distributing quarterly national growth among regions

Jose M. PavíaBernardí Cabrer

subject

MacroeconomicsPublic economicsGeography Planning and DevelopmentEconomicsPublic expenditureEnvironmental Science (miscellaneous)Robustness (economics)Spurious relationship

description

In many countries a very important fraction of public expenditure is managed by regional authorities. However, in a world where economic life has quickened and become more turbulent, subnational institutions rarely have a timely regional macroeconomic picture at their disposal. The authors propose a guide to a method for estimating quarterly accounts of regions from the national quarterly and annual regional accounts, by the use of a temporal structure which eliminates possible spurious jumps. The robustness of the process and suggested practicalities are tested, and the proposal is also shown to produce better estimates than other uniregional methods often used in this framework.

http://www.envplan.com/abstract.cgi?id=a39132