6533b862fe1ef96bd12c6c9c

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Environmental risk factors of airborne viral transmission: Humidity, Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in the Netherlands

Rolando Gonzales MartínezEdsard Ravelli

subject

2019-20 coronavirus outbreakVeterinary medicineCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)EpidemiologyHealth Toxicology and MutagenesisSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)030231 tropical medicineGeography Planning and DevelopmentViral transmissionArticle03 medical and health sciences0302 clinical medicineEnvironmental riskRisk FactorsInfluenza HumanHumansVDP::Medisinske Fag: 700030212 general & internal medicineNetherlandsspatio-temporal modellingSARS-CoV-2Incidence (epidemiology)virus diseasesCOVID-19HumidityOutbreakfood and beveragesBayes TheoremHumidityhumanitiesInfectious DiseasesEnvironmental scienceinfluenza

description

AbstractObjectiveThe relationship between specific humidity and influenza/SARS-CoV-2 in the Netherlands is evaluated over time and at regional level.DesignParametric and non-parametric correlation coefficients are calculated to quantify the relationship between humidity and influenza, using five years of weekly data. Bayesian spatio-temporal models—with a Poisson and a Gaussian likelihood—are estimated to find the relationship between regional humidity and the daily cases of SARS-CoV-2 in the municipalities and provinces of the Netherlands.ResultsAn inverse (negative) relationship is observed between specific humidity and the incidence of influenza between 2015 and 2019. The space-time analysis indicates that an increase of specific humidity of one gram of water vapor per kilogram of air (1 g/kg) is related to a reduction of approximately 5% in the risk of COVID-19 infections.ConclusionsThe increase in humidity during the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 in the Netherlands helped to reduce the risk of regional COVID-19 infections. Public policies that promote higher levels of specific humidification—above 6 g/Kg—can lead to significant reductions in the spread of respiratory viruses, such as influenza and SARS-CoV-2.

yearjournalcountryeditionlanguage
2020-08-21
10.1016/j.sste.2021.100432https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2990521