Search results for " risc"

showing 10 items of 257 documents

Political risks: the “red shift” in debt sustainability analysis

2020

Political stability and economic policy uncertainty can be key determinants of sovereign debt dynamics, and we show how they can be incorporated in debt sustainability analysis. We distinguish between short-term ambiguity and long-term uncertainty about political risk factors, and using a combination of narrative scenarios and calibrated probabilistic scenarios we obtain a comprehensive heatmap of high-risk debt dynamics. We use Italy as an interesting case study and demonstrate a “red shift” in the assessment of vulnerabilities when accounting for political risks. Ignoring these risks can lead to excessive optimism and wrong decisions.

La stabilità del sistema politico istituzionale e l'incertezza riguardo le politiche economiche sono due fattori chiave che possono influenzare la dinamica del debito pubblico. Nell'articolo si propone un modello di analisi della sostenibilità del debito sovrano che tenga conto dei fattori di rischio concernenti l'assetto istituzionale di un paese e le sue politiche economiche. In particolare distinguendo fra ambiguità a breve termine e incertezza a lungo termine dei fattori di rischio politico e utilizzando una combinazione di scenari narrativi e scenari probabilistici si costruisce una "heatmap" che permette di attribuire ad ogni politica fiscale la probabilità che l'obiettivo di riduzione dello stock di debito o del deficit sia soddisfatto. Il modello è applicato al caso Italia. I risultati mostrano un "red shift" della vulnerabilità del debito pubblico italiano quando sono inclusi nell'analisi i fattori di rischio politico. Si può quindi concludere che ignorare i rischi derivanti dall'instabilità del sistema politico-istuzionale o quelli derivanti dall'incertezza delle politiche economiche può condurre a un eccessivo ottimismo e a conseguenti scelte sbagliate.n debt sustainability analysispolitical risksPolitical riskEconomic policymedia_common.quotation_subjectGeneral EngineeringRed shiftSettore SECS-S/06 -Metodi Mat. dell'Economia e d. Scienze Attuariali e Finanz.HD61DebtSustainabilityEconomicsred shiftRisk in industry. Risk managementmedia_commonRisk Management Magazine
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Leopardi revisited. Il poeta personaggio tra biografie narrative e invenzioni romanzesche

2018

Il saggio prende in esame alcuni testi che vedono protagonista la figura di Giacomo Leopardi e che trasformano il poeta in un personaggio letterario, ai confini tra vero storico e invenzione romanzesca. Le rivisitazioni affondano le proprie radici nella vita e nell’opera leopardiana, che diventano punto di partenza di biografie narrative e fiction letterarie. La figura di Leopardi si rivela dunque permeabile alle più svariate possibilità di ricezione che fanno del poeta un personaggio da cui biografi e scrittori possono attingere di volta in volta spunti per rielaborazioni sempre nuove, in base alle proprie scelte di interpretazione e di metodo. Leopardi si offre così all’immaginario contem…

Leopardi riscritture classici Leopardi personaggio
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Le nuove forme della pianificazione: metodologie e linguaggi della pianificazione dei rischi

2014

La pianificazione urbanistica costituisce una parte della complessiva attività di governo del territorio, ma diventa strumento fondamentale per la prevenzione dei rischi, se integrata con le politiche di protezione civile. Il Servizio Nazionale di Protezione Civile (istituito con D.Lgs. 24/2/92 n. 225) ha il compito di redigere appositi programmi di previsione e prevenzione regionali e provinciali per la mitigazione dei rischi naturali e antropici. All’interno di tali programmi emerge il ruolo della pianificazione urbanistica quale strumento di prevenzione e mitigazione dei rischi ambientali e del rischio sismico in particolare. Oggi, la mitigazione del rischio è riconosciuta tra i grandi t…

Linguaggi mitigazione del rischio piano di protezione civileSettore ICAR/21 - Urbanistica
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Mediterranean Diet Maintained Platelet Count within a Healthy Range and Decreased Thrombocytopenia-Related Mortality Risk: A Randomized Controlled Tr…

2021

There is little information on the dietary modulation of thrombosis-related risk factors such as platelet count. We aimed to assess the effects of Mediterranean diet (MedDiet) on platelet count and related outcomes in an older population at high cardiovascular risk. In participants of the PREDIMED (PREvención con DIeta MEDiterránea) study, we assessed whether an intervention with a MedDiet enriched with extra-virgin olive oil or nuts, relative to a low-fat control diet, modulated platelet count (n = 4189), the risk of developing thrombocytosis and thrombocytopenia (n = 3086), and the association between these alterations and all-cause mortality (median follow-up time: 3.0 years). Although p…

Male0301 basic medicineMediterranean dietthrombocytopenia030204 cardiovascular system & hematologyDiet Mediterraneanlaw.inventionClinical trials0302 clinical medicinepreventionRandomized controlled triallawPlateletThrombocytosisNutrition and DieteticsFactors de risc en les malaltiesIncidenceIncidence (epidemiology)Hazard ratioFemaleDietalcsh:Nutrition. Foods and food supplymedicine.medical_specialtyRisk factors in diseaseslcsh:TX341-641ArticleOlder population03 medical and health sciencesMediterranean cookingMediterranean dietInternal medicineCuina mediterràniamedicineHumansAgedProportional Hazards ModelsThrombocytosisPlatelet Countbusiness.industryplatelet countmedicine.diseaseConfidence intervalDiet030104 developmental biologyHeart Disease Risk Factorsrandomized controlled trialbusinessAssaigs clínicsFood ScienceNutrients
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Non-targeted metabolomic biomarkers and metabotypes of type 2 diabetes: A cross-sectional study of PREDIMED trial participants

2019

Aim. - To characterize the urinary metabolomic fingerprint and multi-metabolite signature associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and to classify the population into metabotypes related to T2D. Methods. - A metabolomics analysis using the 1 H-NMR-based, non-targeted metabolomic approach was conducted to determine the urinary metabolomic fingerprint of T2D compared with non-T2D participants in the PREDIMED trial. The discriminant metabolite fingerprint was subjected to logistic regression analysis and ROC analyses to establish and to assess the multi-metabolite signature of T2D prevalence, respectively. Metabotypes associated with T2D were identified using the k-means algorithm. Results. - A …

Male0301 basic medicineOncologyNon targetedendocrine system diseasesCross-sectional studyEndocrinology Diabetes and MetabolismType 2 diabetesDiet MediterraneanLogistic regressionDiabetis no-insulinodependentEndocrinologyRisk FactorsNon-insulin-dependent diabetesDietoteràpiaeducation.field_of_studyFactors de risc en les malaltiesBiochemical markersGeneral MedicineMiddle AgedMetabolismeMetabolòmicaCardiovascular DiseasesMarcadors bioquímicsMetabolomeFemalemedicine.medical_specialtyRisk factors in diseasesPopulationUrinalysis03 medical and health sciencesMedicina preventivaMetabolomicsInternal medicineInternal MedicinemedicineHumansMetabolomicseducationAgedPreventive medicineReceiver operating characteristicbusiness.industryDiet therapynutritional and metabolic diseasesmedicine.diseasePredimedMetabolismCross-Sectional Studies030104 developmental biologyDiabetes Mellitus Type 2businesshuman activitiesBiomarkersDiabetic AngiopathiesDiabetes & Metabolism
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Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risk…

2015

Summary Background The Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor study 2013 (GBD 2013) is the first of a series of annual updates of the GBD. Risk factor quantification, particularly of modifiable risk factors, can help to identify emerging threats to population health and opportunities for prevention. The GBD 2013 provides a timely opportunity to update the comparative risk assessment with new data for exposure, relative risks, and evidence on the appropriate counterfactual risk distribution. Methods Attributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) have been estimated for 79 risks or clusters of risks using the GBD 2…

MaleFine particulate matterNutrition and DiseaseMESH : SanitationHealth BehaviorDiseasesMESH: Metabolic DiseasesMESH: Global Health030204 cardiovascular system & hematologyMESH: Risk AssessmentGlobal HealthMESH : Nutritional StatusMESH: Occupational Exposure0302 clinical medicineUnsafe SexMESH: Risk FactorsRisk FactorsVoeding en ZiekteMedicineAir-pollutionMESH : Female030212 general & internal medicineMESH : Risk AssessmentSanitationWasting2. Zero hungerFactors de risc en les malaltiesMedicine (all)[ SDV.SPEE ] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologiePublic Health Global Health Social Medicine and EpidemiologyGeneral MedicineMESH : Occupational DiseasesMESH: Nutritional StatusAll-cause mortalityMESH : Risk FactorshumanitiesEnvironmental Exposure; Female; Global Health; Health Behavior; Humans; Male; Metabolic Diseases; Nutritional Status; Occupational Diseases; Occupational Exposure; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sanitation; Medicine (all)Tobacco smoking3. Good healthOccupational DiseasesNutritional StatuMESH : Occupational ExposureMESH : Metabolic DiseasesCohortFemalemedicine.symptomRisk assessmentBlood-pressureHumanMESH: Occupational DiseasesRisk factors in diseasesCoronary-heart-diseaseMESH : MaleMESH: Health BehaviorMESH: Environmental ExposureNutritional StatusPopulation healthBody-mass indexRisk Assessment03 medical and health sciencesHousehold cookingMetabolic DiseasesCardiovascular-diseaseEnvironmental healthGeneral & Internal MedicineOccupational Exposureparasitic diseasesLife ScienceMESH: SanitationHumansRisk factorMESH : Health BehaviorVLAGGBD2013MESH: Humansbusiness.industryRisk FactorGlobal Burden of Disease Study; 79 behavioural environmental and occupational and metabolic risksLong-term exposureMESH : HumansCAUSE-SPECIFIC MORTALITYEnvironmental ExposureMESH: MaleMetabolic DiseaseOccupational DiseaseFolkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologiMALE BRITISH DOCTORSYears of potential life lostRelative riskMalaltiesMESH : Global HealthOUTDOOR AIR-POLLUTION[SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologiebusinessMESH : Environmental ExposureMESH: FemaleLancet
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No Major Host Genetic Risk Factor Contributed to A(H1N1)2009 Influenza Severity

2015

Garcia-Etxebarria, Koldo et al.

MaleGenotypeRisk factors in diseaseslcsh:MedicineGenome-wide association studySingle-nucleotide polymorphismDiseaseBiologyBioinformaticsmedicine.disease_causePolymorphism Single NucleotideSeverity of Illness IndexGripInfluenza A Virus H1N1 SubtypeGene FrequencyRisk FactorsGenotypeSeverity of illnessInfluenza HumanInfluenza A virusmedicineSNPHumanslcsh:ScienceAllele frequencyMultidisciplinaryFactors de risc en les malaltieslcsh:RGenomicsInfluenzaGenòmicaEstudi de casosRNA ViralRNAFemalelcsh:QCase studiesResearch Article
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Dietary α-Linolenic Acid, Marine ω-3 Fatty Acids, and Mortality in a Population With High Fish Consumption: Findings From the PREvención con DIeta ME…

2016

12 Páginas.-- 6 Tablas.-- 1 Figura

MaleGerontologyTime FactorsEpidemiologymodelos de riesgos proporcionaleshumanos030204 cardiovascular system & hematologychemistry.chemical_compound0302 clinical medicineRisk Factorsestudios prospectivosevaluación de riesgosMedicineNutsSudden cardian death030212 general & internal medicineFood scienceLongitudinal StudiesProspective Studiesmediana edadOriginal ResearchDiet and NutritionAged 80 and overchemistry.chemical_classificationeducation.field_of_studyancianoalpha-Linolenic aciddietaFactors de risc en les malaltiesHàbits alimentarisFatty Acidsω-3 fatty acidsFatty acids in human nutritionalpha-Linolenic Aciddistribución de la ji al cuadradoMiddle AgedCardiovascular systemnutritionCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleDietaCardiology and Cardiovascular MedicineNutritive Valueconducta de reducción del riesgoRisk factors in diseasesFood habitsPopulationenfermedades cardiovasculares030209 endocrinology & metabolismJuglansRisk Assessmentsudden cardiac death03 medical and health sciencesalimentos del marfactores de tiempoMediterranean cookingÀcids grassos en la nutricióFatty Acids Omega-3Cuina mediterràniaPeix com a alimentHumansfactores de riesgoanálisis multifactorialeducationOlive OilDieta -- Mediterrània Regió de laDieta mediterraneaácidos grasosα-linolenic acidAgedProportional Hazards ModelsSistema cardiovascularChi-Square Distributionbusiness.industryCorrectionFatty acidHàbits alimentaris -- Mediterrània Regió de laProtective FactorsFish consumptionPredimedDietnueceschemistrySeafoodSpainMultivariate Analysisvalor nutritivoestudios longitudinalesfatty acidbusinessRisk Reduction Behaviorácido alfa-linolénico
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Correction: Association of ionizing radiation dose from common medical diagnostic procedures and lymphoma risk in the Epilymph case-control study

2020

International audience; Medical diagnostic X-rays are an important source of ionizing radiation (IR) exposure in the general population; however, it is unclear if the resulting low patient doses increase lymphoma risk. We examined the association between lifetime medical diagnostic X-ray dose and lymphoma risk, taking into account potential confounding factors, including medical history. The international Epilymph study (conducted in the Czech-Republic, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, and Spain) collected self-reported information on common diagnostic X-ray procedures from 2,362 lymphoma cases and 2,465 frequency-matched (age, sex, country) controls. Individual lifetime cumulative bone mar…

MaleLimfomesLymphoma[SDV.IB.IMA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering/ImagingPhysiologyLogistic regressionPediatrics030218 nuclear medicine & medical imagingDiagnostic RadiologyHematologic Cancers and Related Disorders0302 clinical medicineRisk FactorsBone MarrowRadiation IonizingImmune PhysiologyOdds RatioMedicine and Health SciencesMedicineFamily historyCàncerCancerCancer risk factorseducation.field_of_studyMultidisciplinaryFactors de risc en les malaltiesRadiology and ImagingQConfoundingRHematologyMiddle AgedRadiation ExposureBone Imaging3. Good healthOncology030220 oncology & carcinogenesisMedicineFemaleLymphomasResearch ArticleAdultmedicine.medical_specialtyRisk factors in diseasesImaging TechniquesSciencePopulationImmunology[SDV.CAN]Life Sciences [q-bio]/CancerRadiation DosageResearch and Analysis Methods03 medical and health sciences[SDV.CAN] Life Sciences [q-bio]/CancerRheumatologyDiagnostic MedicineInternal medicineOsteoarthritisCancer Detection and DiagnosisHumansMedical historyeducationAgedbusiness.industryArthritisCase-control studyCorrectionCancers and NeoplasmsBiology and Life SciencesOdds ratiomedicine.diseaseLymphomaX-Ray RadiographyMedical risk factorsLogistic Models[SDV.IB.IMA] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering/Imaging[SDV.SPEE] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologieCase-Control StudiesImmune System[SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologiebusinessPLoS ONE
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Gene-environment interactions of CETP gene variation in a high cardiovascular risk Mediterranean population

2010

Genome-wide association studies show that cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are more strongly associated with HDL cholesterol (HDL-C) concentrations than any other loci across the genome. However, gene-environment interactions for clinical applications are still largely unknown. We studied gene-environment interactions between CETP SNPs and dietary fat intake, adherence to the Mediterranean diet, alcohol consumption, smoking, obesity, and diabetes on HDL-C in 4,210 high cardiovascular risk subjects from a Mediterranean population. We focused on the −4,502C>T and the TaqIB SNPs in partial linkage disequilibrium (D'= 0.88; P < 0.001). They were i…

MaleLinkage disequilibriumMediterranean dietGenome-wide association studyBiochemistryEndocrinologyRisk FactorsNutrigeneticsAged 80 and overGeneticseducation.field_of_studyBioquímica y tecnologíaMediterranean RegionMiddle AgedLipidsBiochemistry and technologyCardiovascular DiseasesFemalelipids (amino acids peptides and proteins)Alcoholmedicine.medical_specialtyPopulationSingle-nucleotide polymorphismQD415-436EnvironmentBiologyBioquímica i biotecnologiaPolymorphism Single NucleotideInternal medicineNutrició -- Aspectes genèticsMediterranean dietCholesterylester transfer proteinmedicineHumansGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseObesityeducationLife StyleAgedGenetic associationMediterrània Regió -- PoblacióCholesterol HDLCell Biologymedicine.diseaseDietary FatsObesityCholesterol Ester Transfer ProteinsDietSistema cardiovascular -- Malalties -- Factors de riscEndocrinologyFatbiology.proteinPatient-Oriented and Epidemiological Research0022-2275Genome-Wide Association Study
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