Search results for "Forecast"

INTO THE HOTEL REVENUE MANAGEMENT. “History & Forecast”

2010

During uncertain times a deeper attention on strategies is highly recommended in order to minimize the loss and maintain, or gain in certain cases, market share (Vergara C., 2004). In this direction, hotels are asked to invest more in Revenue Management intelligence, not only toward the actual practices based on Room Revenue, but also taking into consideration the other incoming departments and in particular Food & Beverage. This article aims to clearing up the current state of the Revenue Management theory and practice, starting from its origin, crossing the five pillars, or the current policies and ending with a brief hint on the future of the entire hotel industry, which here we may call…

Seasonal Forecasting methods: an empirical analysis at sectoral and territorial levels.

2011

A stochastic dynamic model to evaluate the influence of economy and well-being on unemployment control

2018

[EN] This paper presents a stochastic dynamic mathematical model to study the evolution of the unemployment rate and other relevant related variables in a country. This model is composed by three basic interrelated subsystems: demographic, economic and wellbeing ones. A key aspect of this model is that it considers three UN well-being variables simultaneously: Human Development Index, Gender Empowerment Index and Gender Differentiation Index. These variables involve key concepts for human development, as Health, Education, Economy and Female Labor. With this model, the most outstanding variables found in the literature in relation with unemployment control can be used to design strategies a…

Gender differences in career plans and wage expectations of French undergraduates

2014

Gender differences in wage expectations may affect investment in human capital and increase inequalities in the labor market. Our research based on a survey of freshmen at a French university aims to understand how students form differences in wage expectations. Our results show that anticipated earnings differ significantly between men and women. One year after graduation, we find a gender pay gap of 16 per cent. A wage decomposition method indicates most of this effect is due to anticipation of discrimination. Ten years after graduation, anticipated discrimination is still almost as dominant in explaining the gender wage gap. Finally, using a survey of recent college graduates we show tha…

Small Wind Turbines: Specification, Design, and Economic Evaluation

2016

In this work, we consider various aspects of small wind turbines' (SWTs) design and operation. First, an extensive literature study is presented by considering SWTs specification, market statistics, the smart grid, and the prosumer concepts as well as the most important parameters affecting the efficiency of wind turbines. Then, both the literature review and series of coupled numerical simulations investigating impact of the chosen design solutions on small wind turbine operation are performed. It allowed objective evaluation of different design approaches, which in turn enabled the systematic identification of actual limitations as well as the opportunities for specific design solutions o…

How Will We React to the Discovery of Extraterrestrial Life?

2018

How will humanity react to the discovery of extraterrestrial life? Speculation on this topic abounds, but empirical research is practically non-existent. We report the results of three empirical studies assessing psychological reactions to the discovery of extraterrestrial life using the Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count (LIWC) text analysis software. We examined language use in media coverage of past discovery announcements of this nature, with a focus on extraterrestrial microbial life (Pilot Study). A large online sample (N = 501) was asked to write about their own and humanity’s reaction to a hypothetical announcement of such a discovery (Study 1), and an independent, large online sampl…

Future perspectives in hepatocellular carcinoma.

2010

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and lethal malignancies worldwide. Due to late diagnosis and advanced underlying liver cirrhosis, only limited treatment options with marginal clinical benefits have been available in up to 70% of patients. However, major progress has been achieved with regard to surveillance, early diagnosis, and multimodal treatment approaches during the last years leading to an improvement in prognosis. Particularly, the increasing knowledge of molecular hepatocarcinogenesis today provides the opportunity for targeted therapy. The multikinase inhibitor sorafenib has broadened the therapeutic horizon for patients with advanced disease and is current…

Current trends in solid-phase-based extraction techniques for the determination of pesticides in food and environment

2006

Solid-phase extraction (SPE) procedures for pesticide residues in food and environment are reviewed and discussed. The use of these procedures, which include several approaches such as: matrix solid-phase dispersion (MSPD), solid-phase micro-extraction (SPME) and stir-bar sorptive extraction (SBSE), represents an opportunity to reduce analysis time, solvent consumption, and overall cost. SPE techniques differ from solvent extraction depending on the interactions between a sorbent and the pesticide. This interaction may be specific for a particular pesticide, as in the interaction with an immunosorbent, or non-specific, as in the way a number of different pesticides are adsorbed on apolar or…

Encuestas a pie de urna en España. ¿Error muestral o sesgo de no respuesta?

2016

Countless examples of misleading forecasts on behalf of both pre-election and exit polls can be found all over the world. Non-representative samples due to differential nonresponse have been claimed as being the main reason for inaccurate exit-poll projections. In real inference problems, it is seldom possible to compare estimates and true values. Electoral forecasts are an exception. Comparisons between estimates and final outcomes can be carried out once votes have been tallied. In this paper, we examine the raw data collected in seven exit polls conducted in Spain and test the likelihood that the data collected in each sampled voting location can be considered as a random sample of actua…

Coupling of Action-Perception Brain Networks during Musical Pulse Processing: Evidence from Region-of-Interest-Based Independent Component Analysis

2017

Our sense of rhythm relies on orchestrated activity of several cerebral and cerebellar structures. Although functional connectivity studies have advanced our understanding of rhythm perception, this phenomenon has not been sufficiently studied as a function of musical training and beyond the General Linear Model (GLM) approach. Here, we studied pulse clarity processing during naturalistic music listening using a data-driven approach (independent component analysis; ICA). Participants’ (18 musicians and 18 controls) functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) responses were acquired while listening to music. A targeted region of interest (ROI) related to pulse clarity processing was defined…