Search results for "climatology"
showing 10 items of 1164 documents
Variabilité de la température entre 1951 et 2014 en Allemagne associée à l’évolution de la floraison des pommiers.
2018
Apple tree bloom onset in Germany has advanced by 2 days/decade in 1951-2014 and by 3 days/decade in 1988-2014, behaving similarly in respect to its evolution since 1951 and its sensitivity to temperature to other species’ phenological spring phases. The evolution however was not linear; by conducting a split moving-window dissimilarity analysis (SMWDA) we were able to detect the “break-period” 1987-1989 which coincides with a breakpoint that has been identified in the phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We observed distinct spatial patterns with apple bloom advancing from southwest to northeast and, most interestingly, a longitudinal gradient in the trend of apple bloom onset r…
Georeferenced cartography dataset of the La Fossa crater fumarolic field at Vulcano Island (Aeolian Archipelago, Italy): conversion and comparison of…
2011
The present study illustrates the procedures applied for the coordinate system conversion of the historical fumarole positions at La Fossa crater, to allow their comparison with newly acquired global positioning system (GPS) data. Due to the absence of ground control points in the field and on both the old Gauss Boaga and the new UTM WGS 1984 maps, we had to model the transformation errors between the two systems using differential GPS techniques. Once corrected, the maps show a residual Easting shifting, due to erroneous georeferencing of the original base maps; this is corrected by morphological comparative methods. The good correspondence between the corrected positions of the historical…
Evolution du bilan hydrique à l'échelle de bassins versants en contexte de changement climatique - Mise place d’une méthodologie.
2014
6 pages; International audience
Évolution des structures spatiales récurrentes des températures quotidiennes en Bourgogne.
2011
6 pages; International audience; L’objectif est de définir, à partir de 24 stations météorologiques, différentes structures spatiales récurrentes de larépartition des températures minimales (Tn) et maximales (Tx) en Bourgogne. Après avoir désaisonnalisé les séries detempératures, une Classification Hiérarchique Ascendante (CHA) est utilisée pour regrouper les jours ayant des structuresspatiales similaires. Huit classes ont été définies, quatre pour les Tn et quatre pour les Tx. Pour les deux variables, ellesidentifient les cas de gradient thermique (i) Nord-Ouest/Sud-Est, (ii) Sud-Est/Nord-Ouest, (iii) altitudinal positif et (iv)altitudinal négatif. Les fréquences d’occurrences de ces struc…
Les changements futurs de la mousson africaine.
2013
7 pages; International audience; Nous analysons l’effet du changement climatique sur la mousson d’Afrique de l’ouest par l’utilisation de huitmodèles CMIP5 sous scénario RCP4.5, la réalisation d’un multi-modèle et l’approche « one model, one vote ». Les résultatsmontrent l’apparition d’un contraste pluviométrique zonal entre le centre et l’ouest du Sahel. Une mousson plus intensepermettrait une hausse de la convergence d’humidité et des précipitations au centre du Sahel. Un renforcement du jet d’estafricain et de la subsidence sur l’ouest du Sahel y permettrait en revanche une baisse de la pluviométrie.
Contribution des talwegs tropicaux-tempérés aux précipitations d’Afrique australe : quelle évolution dans le cadre du changement climatique ?
2014
6 pages; International audience; Cette étude analyse les changements de la pluviométrie et des talwegs tropicaux-tempérés (TTT) en Afriqueaustrale dans le cadre du changement climatique en utilisant huit modèles climatiques retenus dans l’exercice 5 du GIEC etforcés selon la trajectoire RCP 8.5. Tous les modèles restituent convenablement les bandes nuageuses associées aux TTT,tant en termes de variabilité spatiale que de fréquence d’occurrences. Les modèles divergent sur l’évolution desprécipitations de saison des pluies (NDJF). En revanche, ils montrent tous une diminution du nombre de jours de pluieassociée à une augmentation d’événements plus pluvieux. Ces changements dans la distributio…
Heat in Normandy, types of atmospheric circulation and climate change (1970 - 2019)
2020
Heat in Normandy, synoptic circulation patterns and climate change (1970-2019). This article focuses on the role and the evolution of the different kinds of synoptic circulation patterns in the occurrence of hot days in Normandy. Heat is here, very dependent on the presence of action centres over central Europe as well as, air flow coming from NE and E. Contemporary climate change expresses itself by a rise in thermal efficiency of all synoptic circulation patterns (more heat for the same flow). Lastly, the north of Cotentin stands out by being a real “cool island” during summer because of its peninsula position which imposes on any air mass, regardless of its origin, a cooling from its bot…
Tropical Temperate Toughs over southern Africa: mechanisms and evolution in response to climate change
2015
In the Southern Hemisphere, Southern Africa and the south-west Indian Ocean are one of the three preferred regions where interactions between the tropics and midlatitudes develop. This is the South Indian Convergence Zone (SICZ), where northwest-southeast oriented cloud bands form at the synoptic scale (between 3 and 5 days). These bands are mainly found during the austral summer and are commonly referred to as tropical temperate troughs (TTTs). This research aims at improving our knowledge related to TTTs, with a study on the dynamics associated with these systems, and an analysis of their possible evolution during the 21st century.The first part of this thesis aims at identifying favorab…
Seasonal variation of average phytoplankton concentration in the Kattegat—a periodical point model
2003
Abstract Seasonal variations in primary production, phytoplankton biomass, chlorophyll-a, dissolved inorganic phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations in the upper 10 m of the Kattegat were analysed by means of monitoring data from 1993–1997. Spatial optimal analysis, based on a stochastic model, was used to reconstruct weekly constituent fields onto a spatial grid. The reconstructed fields were spatially integrated, resulting in a relatively smooth seasonal variability of the average variables. A simple dynamical model, set up as a periodical boundary problem, is suggested for the average phytoplankton concentration, dissolved inorganic nitrogen and entrainment depth as state variables. The …
Le changement climatique : où en sommes-nous ?
2018
Greenhouse gases (GHGs), naturally part of the atmosphere, have protected us from severe glaciations in the past. Today, human activities increase GHG concentrations and cause rapid and unprecedented Earth warming. Climate change is not resume only to warming, water cycle is also changed. All the research confirms: the climate is changing fast, too fast for ecosystems and societies to adapt. Despite the alerts of the international scientific community, States gathered into Conferences of the Parties (COP) ratify agreements but do not comply with all their commitments. Public opinion polls indicate that climate change is perceived as a risk, but jobs and taxes override environmental concerns…