Search results for "surcotes"
showing 4 items of 4 documents
Types de temps et risque d'inondation et d'érosion en Camargue : diagnostique et prévision au 21ème siècle (1993-2100)
2010
High sea surges and waves are the two mains hydro-meteorological phenomenon associated with coastal flooding and erosion in Camargue. For the period 1993-2002, high monthly frequencies of strong surges are usually associated with high frequency of strong waves. These two phenomenons mainly occur during weather type showing a deep low pressure system over the Bay of Biscay associated with high pressure over Central Europe. The monthly frequency of such weather regime indicates the probability of occurrence of high surges and waves along Camargue's coast. During the 21st century, the frequency of this specific weather regime could stay stationary for the A1b climate change scenario.
Sea surges at Monaco and Nice: present-day and future variability (1998-2100).
2018
Sea surges arerapid increase of the level of the sea under atmospheric conditions that could lead to coastal submersion havingstrong impacts especially for coastal towns of the French Riviera such as Nice and the principality of Monaco.Interannual variability of the highest surges at Monaco is robustly simulates by a linear regression usingbarometric conditions over [3-10°E]-[40-45°N] as a predictor. According to 15 global circulation models,highest surges at Monaco could stay stationary for two different climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 andRCP8.5).
SURCOTES MARINES DANS LE GOLFE DU LION ET FORCAGES ATMOSPHERIQUES : VARIABILITE CONTEMPORAINE ET FUTURE (1950-2100)
2010
Sea surges in the Gulf of Lions are mainly forced by southerly and south-easterly winds. This regional-scale atmospheric circulation is leading by a strong zonal gradient between low pressure system over the Bay of Biscay and high pressure over central Europe. This synoptic-scale circulation mostly happens during “Greenland Above” weather regime. In the second half of the 20th century, a slow increase of the sea-level pressure over central Europe increased the probability of having “Greenland Above” weather types associated with a southerly atmospheric circulation in the Gulf of Lions, thus leading to strong surges. A linear regression is used to simulate the interannual variability of high…
Surcotes, tempêtes et risque d’inondation le long du littoral belge : variabilité contemporaine et future (1950-2100)
2010
6 pages; International audience; A l’échelle quotidienne, la hauteur des surcotes à Ostende est quasi-linéairement corrélée à la pressionatmosphérique de surface (PSM) sur la Mer Baltique. Les plus fortes surcotes s’y produisent quand une dépression restestationnaire plusieurs jours sur la Scandinavie synchrone à un renforcement de l’anticyclone des Açores. Cette géographiebarométrique favorise la genèse des forts vents d’afflux de nord-ouest dans la partie sud de la Mer du Nord. Un modèle derégression linéaire permet de simuler de façon robuste la variabilité interannuelle des fortes surcotes à Ostende de 1950 à2000 avec (i) la PSM autour de la Mer Baltique et (ii) le gradient barométrique…