Search results for "variance"
showing 10 items of 2030 documents
Cross-Commodity Spot Price Modeling with Stochastic Volatility and Leverage For Energy Markets
2013
Spot prices in energy markets exhibit special features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, inverse leverage effect, and dependencies between the commodities. In this paper a multivariate stochastic volatility model is introduced which captures these features. The second-order structure and stationarity of the model are analyzed in detail. A simulation method for Monte Carlo generation of price paths is introduced and a numerical example is presented.
Estimating person parameters via item response model and simple sum score in small samples with few polytomous items: A simulation study
2018
Background The Item Response Theory (IRT) is becoming increasingly popular for item analysis. Theoretical considerations and simulation studies suggest that parameter estimates will become precise only by utilizing many items in large samples. Method A simulation study focusing on a single scale was performed on data with (a) n = 40, 60, 80, 120, 200, 300, 500, and 900 cases utilizing (b) 4, 8, 16, or 32 items. The items were (c) symmetrically distributed vs. skew (skewness 0, 1, and 2). Item loadings were (d) homogeneous vs. heterogeneous. Item loadings were (e) low vs. high. Half of the items had (f) a correlated error or not. The number of answering categories (g) was four vs. five. A to…
Moderating effects of subgroups in linear models
1989
SUMMARY Possibilities for moderating effects of a subgrouping variable on strength or direction of an association have been much discussed by social scientists but have not been given satisfactory statistical formulations. The results concern directed measures of associations in linear models containing just three variables. Some key words: Analysis of covariance; Analysis of variance; cG-distribution; Conditional independence; Graphical chain model; Parallel regressions; Yule-Simpson paradox. 1. INTRODUCTION Linear models are commonly used as a framework to estimate and test how a continuous response variable depends on potential influencing variables. This paper is concerned with the situ…
Use of functionals in linearization and composite estimation with application to two-sample survey data
2009
An important problem associated with two-sample surveys is the estimation of nonlinear functions of finite population totals such as ratios, correlation coefficients or measures of income inequality. Computation and estimation of the variance of such complex statistics are made more difficult by the existence of overlapping units. In one-sample surveys, the linearization method based on the influence function approach is a powerful tool for variance estimation. We introduce a two-sample linearization technique that can be viewed as a generalization of the one-sample influence function approach. Our technique is based on expressing the parameters of interest as multivariate functionals of fi…
Conditionally heteroscedastic intensity-dependent marking of log Gaussian Cox processes
2009
Spatial marked point processes are models for systems of points which are randomly distributed in space and provided with measured quantities called marks. This study deals with marking, that is methods of constructing marked point processes from unmarked ones. The focus is density-dependent marking where the local point intensity affects the mark distribution. This study develops new markings for log Gaussian Cox processes. In these markings, both the mean and variance of the mark distribution depend on the local intensity. The mean, variance and mark correlation properties are presented for the new markings, and a Bayesian estimation procedure is suggested for statistical inference. The p…
Automatic variable selection for exposure-driven propensity score matching with unmeasured confounders.
2020
Multivariable model building for propensity score modeling approaches is challenging. A common propensity score approach is exposure-driven propensity score matching, where the best model selection strategy is still unclear. In particular, the situation may require variable selection, while it is still unclear if variables included in the propensity score should be associated with the exposure and the outcome, with either the exposure or the outcome, with at least the exposure or with at least the outcome. Unmeasured confounders, complex correlation structures, and non-normal covariate distributions further complicate matters. We consider the performance of different modeling strategies in …
Response models for mixed binary and quantitative variables
1992
SUMMARY A number of special representations are considered for the joint distribution of qualitative, mostly binary, and quantitative variables. In addition to the conditional Gaussian models and to conditional Gaussian regression chain models some emphasis is placed on models derived from an underlying multivariate normal distribution and on models in which discrete probabilities are specified linearly in terms of unknown parameters. The possibilities for choosing between the models empirically are examined, as well as the testing of independence and conditional independence and the estimation of parameters. Often the testing of independence is exactly or nearly the same for a number of di…
The asymptotic covariance matrix of the Oja median
2003
The Oja median, based on a sample of multivariate data, is an affine equivariant estimate of the centre of the distribution. It reduces to the sample median in one dimension and has several nice robustness and efficiency properties. We develop different representations of its asymptotic variance and discuss ways to estimate this quantity. We consider symmetric multivariate models and also the more narrow elliptical models. A small simulation study is included to compare finite sample results to the asymptotic formulas.
A new mathematical approach for the estimation of the AUC and its variability under different experimental designs in preclinical studies
2011
The aim of the present work was to develop a new mathematical method for estimating the area under the curve (AUC) and its variability that could be applied in different preclinical experimental designs and amenable to be implemented in standard calculation worksheets. In order to assess the usefulness of the new approach, different experimental scenarios were studied and the results were compared with those obtained with commonly used software: WinNonlin® and Phoenix WinNonlin®. The results do not show statistical differences among the AUC values obtained by both procedures, but the new method appears to be a better estimator of the AUC standard error, measured as the coverage of 95% confi…
Fast Estimation of the Median Covariation Matrix with Application to Online Robust Principal Components Analysis
2017
International audience; The geometric median covariation matrix is a robust multivariate indicator of dispersion which can be extended without any difficulty to functional data. We define estimators, based on recursive algorithms, that can be simply updated at each new observation and are able to deal rapidly with large samples of high dimensional data without being obliged to store all the data in memory. Asymptotic convergence properties of the recursive algorithms are studied under weak conditions. The computation of the principal components can also be performed online and this approach can be useful for online outlier detection. A simulation study clearly shows that this robust indicat…