6533b7cffe1ef96bd12584d6

RESEARCH PRODUCT

SIMULATING DEMOGRAPHY AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT DYNAMICS

Joan C. MicóDavid SolerAntonio CasellesMaría T. Sanz

subject

Governanceeducation.field_of_studyPopulation statisticsStochastic modellingPopulationHybrid Human Development IndexComputer simulationPopulation statisticsDeterministic modelsHuman development (humanity)Human population dynamicsStochastic modelsStochastic modelGeographyArtificial IntelligenceLife expectancyHuman Development IndexMATEMATICA APLICADAeducationHuman population dynamicsSimulationSoftwareInformation SystemsDemography

description

[EN] A deterministic/stochastic model in which the demographic and the well-being subsystems of a country are involved and related is presented as a way to approach human development. The demographic subsystem is a side-by-side, single-gender, age-structured population dynamic model. The well-being subsystem states the dynamics of the United Nations Hybrid Human Development Index. The model has been validated in the case of Spain and Belgium. Some simulations have been performed with the model for the case of Spain in the 2009-2020 period to determine strategies and scenarios that could increase the life expectancy at birth per gender. Copyright © 2014 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.

yearjournalcountryeditionlanguage
2014-08-18Cybernetics and Systems
https://doi.org/10.1080/01969722.2014.929347