6533b837fe1ef96bd12a2910
RESEARCH PRODUCT
Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales
Yoshihide WadaFang ZhaoYasushi HondaThomas HicklerJörg SteinkampNikolay KhabarovTobias StackeLila WarszawskiDavid N. BreschDavid N. BreschTobias GeigerTobias GeigerWim ThieryWim ThieryKazuya NishinaJonas JägermeyrJonas JägermeyrJonas JägermeyrSebastian OstbergHannes Müller SchmiedManolis GrillakisIliusi VegaKerry EmanuelAkihiko ItoPhilippe CiaisSonia I. SeneviratneStefan LangeNaota HanasakiJinfeng ChangJinfeng ChangJan VolkholzAristeidis KoutroulisChristian FolberthMatthias BüchnerChristopher P. O. ReyerMinoru YoshikawaSven WillnerChristoph MüllerKatja FrielerHong YangHong YangJacob ScheweSimon N. GoslingAlexandra HenrotDieter GertenDieter GertenMarie DuryVeronika HuberChao YueChao YueWenfeng LiuWenfeng LiuTed VeldkampTed Veldkampsubject
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesHYDROLOGICAL MODELSPopulation0207 environmental engineeringFLOOD RISKEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology02 engineering and technologySubtropics[SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology01 natural sciencesPopulation densityLatitudeClimate-related extreme events/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_actionEarth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)SDG 13 - Climate ActionMeteorology & Atmospheric SciencesBURNED AREAGLOBAL CROP PRODUCTIONGeosciences Multidisciplinary020701 environmental engineeringeducation0105 earth and related environmental sciencesGeneral Environmental ScienceEvent (probability theory)education.field_of_studyScience & TechnologyLand useGlobal warmingGlobal warmingVEGETATION MODEL ORCHIDEEGeology15. Life on landTERRESTRIAL CARBON BALANCE13. Climate actionClimatologyPhysical SciencesTROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITYHURRICANE INTENSITYEnvironmental scienceTropical cycloneINTERANNUAL VARIABILITYLife Sciences & BiomedicineEnvironmental SciencesINCORPORATING SPITFIREdescription
Summarization: The extent and impact of climate‐related extreme events depend on the underlying meteorological, hydrological, or climatological drivers as well as on human factors such as land use or population density. Here we quantify the pure effect of historical and future climate change on the exposure of land and population to extreme climate impact events using an unprecedentedly large ensemble of harmonized climate impact simulations from the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b. Our results indicate that global warming has already more than doubled both the global land area and the global population annually exposed to all six categories of extreme events considered: river floods, tropical cyclones, crop failure, wildfires, droughts, and heatwaves. Global warming of 2°C relative to preindustrial conditions is projected to lead to a more than fivefold increase in cross‐category aggregate exposure globally. Changes in exposure are unevenly distributed, with tropical and subtropical regions facing larger increases than higher latitudes. The largest increases in overall exposure are projected for the population of South Asia. Presented on: Earth's Future
| year | journal | country | edition | language |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-01 |