6533b852fe1ef96bd12aaf53

RESEARCH PRODUCT

Deep learning and process understanding for data-driven Earth system science

Joachim DenzlerBjorn StevensN. CarvalhaisNuno CarvalhaisGustau Camps-vallsPrabhatMartin JungMarkus Reichstein

subject

Big DataTime FactorsProcess modelingGeospatial analysis010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciencesProcess (engineering)0208 environmental biotechnologyBig dataGeographic Mapping02 engineering and technologycomputer.software_genreMachine learning01 natural sciencesPattern Recognition AutomatedData-drivenDeep LearningSpatio-Temporal AnalysisHumansComputer SimulationWeather0105 earth and related environmental sciencesMultidisciplinarybusiness.industryDeep learningUncertaintyReproducibility of ResultsTranslatingRegression Psychology020801 environmental engineeringEarth system scienceKnowledgePattern recognition (psychology)Earth SciencesFemaleSeasonsArtificial intelligencebusinessPsychologyFacial RecognitioncomputerForecasting

description

Machine learning approaches are increasingly used to extract patterns and insights from the ever-increasing stream of geospatial data, but current approaches may not be optimal when system behaviour is dominated by spatial or temporal context. Here, rather than amending classical machine learning, we argue that these contextual cues should be used as part of deep learning (an approach that is able to extract spatio-temporal features automatically) to gain further process understanding of Earth system science problems, improving the predictive ability of seasonal forecasting and modelling of long-range spatial connections across multiple timescales, for example. The next step will be a hybrid modelling approach, coupling physical process models with the versatility of data-driven machine learning.

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0912-1