6533b81ffe1ef96bd1277414

RESEARCH PRODUCT

A simplified clinical risk score predicts the need for early endoscopy in non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding

Andrea AnderloniM. BiaginiLuigi CasertaS. Di BellaF.w. GuglielmiMaria Carla Di PaoloS. MilaniS. MazzuoliG. ScarpullaE. CervellinCesare HassanGiorgio FrosiniM. VentrucciGennaro D'amicoF.v. TestaiMario MariniRaffaele MantaLeonardo TammaroRoberto VassalloM.c. ParodiL. PallottaA. D’angeloD. SpottiElisabetta RiccioS. CamilleriE. BrunelliM. De BonaAndrea BudaS. CaliendoFilippo AntoniniL.m. MontalbanoClara VirgilioC. De FanisM. CampaioliG. CostaM. AzzurroGiampiero MacarriA. TesiRita ConigliaroC. PecciantiMassimo ConioM. De MatthaeisG.c. SturnioloAnna KohnMauro MannoAdriano LauriR. MarinM. De BoniS. AdamoF. RidolfiPietro OcchipintiAngelo ZulloAlessandro NataliAntonio CraxìS. PeraltaA. FerronatoP. PozzatoA. ColucciAntonio BalzanoG. OcchigrossiEmanuele SinagraF. LambogliaM.a. Vitale

subject

MaleVariceal bleedingClinical scoremedicine.medical_treatmentSeverity of Illness IndexEndoscopy GastrointestinalHEMORRHAGERecurrenceRisk FactorsProspective StudiesAged 80 and overOUTCOMESFramingham Risk Scoremedicine.diagnostic_testIncidenceUpper endoscopyGastroenterologyMiddle AgedTIMESurvival RateItalyFemaleGastrointestinal HemorrhageClinical risk factormedicine.medical_specialtyRisk AssessmentDiagnosis DifferentialClinical score Endoscopy High endoscopic stigmata Upper gastrointestinal bleeding; GLASGOW-BLATCHFORD HEMORRHAGE TIME OUTCOMESmedicineHumansUpper gastrointestinal bleedingAgedHepatologybusiness.industryReproducibility of Resultsnon variceal upper gastrointestinal bleedingEndoscopymedicine.diseaseTriageGLASGOW-BLATCHFORDEndoscopySurgerySettore MED/18 - Chirurgia GeneraleEarly DiagnosisHigh endoscopic stigmataROC CurveTherapeutic endoscopyUpper gastrointestinal bleedingTriagebusinessFollow-Up Studies

description

Abstract Background Pre-endoscopic triage of patients who require an early upper endoscopy can improve management of patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Aims To validate a new simplified clinical score (T-score) to assess the need of an early upper endoscopy in non variceal bleeding patients. Secondary outcomes were re-bleeding rate, 30-day bleeding-related mortality. Methods In this prospective, multicentre study patients with bleeding who underwent upper endoscopy were enrolled. The accuracy for high risk endoscopic stigmata of the T-score was compared with that of the Glasgow Blatchford risk score. Results Overall, 602 patients underwent early upper endoscopy, and 472 presented with non-variceal bleeding. High risk endoscopic stigmata were detected in 145 (30.7%) cases. T-score sensitivity and specificity for high risk endoscopic stigmata and bleeding-related mortality was 96% and 30%, and 80% and 71%, respectively. No statistically difference in predicting high risk endoscopic stigmata between T-score and Glasgow Blatchford risk score was observed (ROC curve: 0.72 vs. 0.69, p = 0.11). The two scores were also similar in predicting re-bleeding (ROC curve: 0.64 vs. 0.63, p = 0.4) and 30-day bleeding-related mortality (ROC curve: 0.78 vs. 0.76, p = 0.3). Conclusions The T-score appeared to predict high risk endoscopic stigmata, re-bleeding and mortality with similar accuracy to Glasgow Blatchford risk score. Such a score may be helpful for the prediction of high-risk patients who need a very early therapeutic endoscopy.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dld.2014.05.006